Trends
Week One
The following table shows how teams with a certain number of regular season wins the prior year have done in their season opener, broken out for home/away and overall:
Week 1 results 1984-2005
(for specific prior season win numbers)
| Prior Yr Wins |
Spread Record
(home) |
Spread Record
(away) |
Overall Record |
| 1 |
4 - 0 |
2 - 0 |
6 - 0 |
| 2 |
4 - 4 |
2 - 3 |
6 - 7 |
| 3 |
10 - 6 |
3 - 6 |
13 - 12 |
| 4 |
15 - 10 |
11 - 10 |
26 - 20 |
| 5 |
11 - 13 |
13 - 12 |
24 - 25 |
| 6 |
15 - 12 |
16 - 19 |
31 - 31 |
| 7 |
16 - 19 |
17 - 21 |
33 - 40 |
| 8 |
14 - 24 |
19 - 16 |
33 - 40 |
| 9 |
24 - 16 |
12 - 18 |
36 - 34 |
| 10 |
20 - 8 |
23 - 21 |
43 - 29 |
| 11 |
18 - 10 |
8 - 15 |
26 - 25 |
| 12 |
7 - 11 |
12 - 10 |
19 - 21 |
| 13 |
5 - 5 |
3 - 9 |
8 - 14 |
| 14 |
3 - 3 |
2 - 6 |
7 - 9 |
| 15 |
1 - 1 |
0 - 2 |
1 - 3 |
Not that this constitutes a great deal of meaningful data, but based on this table, a few teams might be worth closer scrutiny here in 2006:
- Green Bay - 4 win teams are 15-10 at home while 11 win away teams like Chicago are just 8-15 opening
the next season on the road.
- Kansas City - 10 win teams are 20-8 at home while 11 win away teams like Cincinnati are just 8-15 opening the next season on the road.
- N.Y. Giants - 11 win teams are 18-10 at home while 14 win away teams like Indianapolis are just 2-6 opening the next season on the road.
- Oakland - 4 win teams are 15-10 at home while 9 win away teams like San Diego are just 12-18 opening the next season on the road.
- Pittsburgh - 11 win teams are 18-10 at home while 9 win away teams like Miami are just 12-18 opening the next season on the road.
- Washington - 10 win teams are 20-8 at home while 9 win away teams like Minnesota are just 12-18 opening the next season on the road.
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