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  • Trends - Week Four


    The following table shows how home teams with a certain season record have done in matchups in the fourth week of the season:

    Week 4 results 1990-2005
    (for specific home team records)
    Home
    Season Record
    Spread W-L
    As Favorite
    Spread W-L
    As Underdog
    Spread W-L
    All Games
    3-0 or 2-0
    15 - 11
    3 - 1
    18 - 12
    2-1
    23 - 25
    3 - 6
    26 - 31
    1-1
    7 - 5
    1 - 0
    8 - 5
    1-2
    9 - 23
    14 - 10
    23 - 33
    0-2 or 0-3
    7 - 11
    10 - 17
    17 - 28

    Not that this constitutes a great deal of meaningful data, but based on this table you would speculate that home teams with losing records on the year are poor bets as favorites. A few teams might be worth a closer look here in 2006:

    • New Orleans - plays as underdog to a Carolina team that is 1-2
    • San Francisco - plays as underdog to a Kansas City team that is 0-2


    Season-To-Date Results:
    Record: 8-8
    Last week: 5-2

    Archive
    Week 3 Trends Column
    Week 2 Trends Column
    Week 1 Trends Column

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