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  • Turnovers

    The original turnover theory was only supposed to be used in weeks five to twelve. We will keep posting data, but be aware that prior years have shown no significant predictive value in games played from week 13 on.

    The picks from this week forward will not be added to the season-to-date records, which finish at 47-31 (60%) for the 2006 season.

    For those unfamiliar with our turnover research, you may want to review the following prior articles for background on this theory:

    Nets shown below reflect Away number minus Home number.

    Away
    Line
    Home
    Net
    INT
    Net
    FUM
    Net
    T/O
    INT
    Pick
    FUM
    Pick
    T/O
    Pick
    Baltimore
    -3
    Cincinnati
    2
    5
    7
    -
    -
    CIN
    Arizona
    -6.5
    St. Louis
    -12
    -2
    -14
    ARI
    -
    ARI
    Atlanta
    -1.5
    Washington
    0
    7
    7
    -
    WAS
    WAS
    Dallas
    +4
    N.Y. Giants
    6
    3
    9
    -
    -
    NYG
    Detroit
    -13.5
    New England
    -9
    2
    -7
    DET
    -
    DET
    Indianapolis
    +7.5
    Tennessee
    9
    -2
    7
    TEN
    -
    TEN
    Jacksonville
    -1.5
    Miami
    12
    -8
    4
    MIA
    JAC
    -
    Kansas City
    +5.5
    Cleveland
    6
    9
    15
    -
    CLE
    CLE
    Minnesota
    -9.5
    Chicago
    -2
    -9
    -11
    -
    MIN
    MIN
    N.Y. Jets
    +1.5
    Green Bay
    0
    4
    4
    -
    -
    -
    San Diego
    +6
    Buffalo
    5
    5
    10
    -
    -
    BUF
    San Francisco
    -7
    New Orleans
    7
    0
    7
    NO
    -
    NO
    Tampa Bay
    -8
    Pittsburgh
    -1
    5
    4
    -
    -
    -
    Houston
    -3
    Oakland
    0
    3
    3
    -
    -
    -
    Seattle
    -3
    Denver
    -7
    -4
    -11
    SEA
    -
    SEA
    Carolina
    +3
    Philadelphia
    -2
    2
    0
    -
    -
    -


    Season-To-Date Results:
    All Net T/O Plays: 47-31
    All Net Int Plays: 37-18
    All Net Fum Plays: 30-23
    Contrarian Consensus: 18-12
    Last week: the full T/O plays were 4-5, the FUM plays 2-4-1, and the INT plays 1-1-1. The Contrarian Consensus (both CSM and T/O pick the same side) was 1-2. This marks the last week for season-to-date results being counted.

    Archive
    Week 12 Turnover Column
    Week 11 Turnover Column
    Week 10 Turnover Column
    Week 9 Turnover Column
    Week 8 Turnover Column
    Week 7 Turnover Column
    Week 6 Turnover Column
    Week 5 Turnover Column
    Week 4 Turnover Column
    Week 3 Turnover Column
    Week 2 Turnover Column
    Week 1 Turnover Column

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