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  • Turnovers

    The original turnover theory was only supposed to be used in weeks five to twelve. We will keep posting data, but be aware that prior years have shown no significant predictive value in games played from week 13 on.

    The picks from this week forward will not be added to the season-to-date records, which finish at 47-31 (60%) for the 2006 season.

    For those unfamiliar with our turnover research, you may want to review the following prior articles for background on this theory:

    Nets shown below reflect Away number minus Home number.

    Away
    Line
    Home
    Net
    INT
    Net
    FUM
    Net
    T/O
    INT
    Pick
    FUM
    Pick
    T/O
    Pick
    Minnesota
    -3.5
    Green Bay
    0
    7
    7
    -
    -
    -
    Kansas City
    +6.5
    Oakland
    7
    11
    18
    -
    OAK
    OAK
    Baltimore
    -3
    Pittsburgh
    15
    6
    21
    PIT
    -
    PIT
    Carolina
    -6
    Atlanta
    -6
    -11
    -17
    -
    CAR
    CAR
    Chicago
    +4.5
    Detroit
    16
    7
    23
    DET
    -
    DET
    Indianapolis
    +9.5
    Houston
    7
    7
    14
    -
    -
    HOU
    New England
    -2.5
    Jacksonville
    3
    1
    4
    -
    -
    -
    New Orleans
    -3
    N.Y. Giants
    -1
    -5
    -6
    -
    -
    -
    Tampa Bay
    -3
    Cleveland
    -6
    4
    -2
    -
    -
    -
    Tennessee
    -4.5
    Buffalo
    -4
    8
    4
    -
    BUF
    -
    Washington
    -2.5
    St. Louis
    -10
    -5
    -15
    WAS
    -
    WAS
    Arizona
    -4
    San Francisco
    -1
    9
    8
    -
    SF
    SF
    Cincinnati
    -3
    Denver
    7
    0
    7
    -
    -
    -
    San Diego
    +4.5
    Seattle
    14
    4
    18
    SEA
    -
    SEA
    Philadelphia
    -7
    Dallas
    10
    -13
    -3
    DAL
    PHI
    -
    N.Y. Jets
    -2.5
    Miami
    9
    -12
    -3
    MIA
    NYJ
    -


    Season-To-Date Results:
    All Net T/O Plays: 47-31
    All Net Int Plays: 37-18
    All Net Fum Plays: 30-23
    Contrarian Consensus: 18-12
    Last week: (non counted plays) the full T/O plays were 2-3, the FUM plays 4-2, and the INT plays 3-2. The Contrarian Consensus (both CSM and T/O pick the same side) was 2-1.

    Archive
    Week 15 Turnover Column
    Week 14 Turnover Column
    Week 13 Turnover Column
    Week 12 Turnover Column
    Week 11 Turnover Column
    Week 10 Turnover Column
    Week 9 Turnover Column
    Week 8 Turnover Column
    Week 7 Turnover Column
    Week 6 Turnover Column
    Week 5 Turnover Column
    Week 4 Turnover Column
    Week 3 Turnover Column
    Week 2 Turnover Column
    Week 1 Turnover Column

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