Welcome to TwoMinuteWarning's teaser page! Generally we rely heavily on the TMW statistical reports, but for the first few weeks we will have to utilize some other strategies.

It's a good time to review what the history has been for teaser bets at certain line values (for the full table see the Week One Teaser Page):

The range to avoid on an overall basis is certainly the "big favorites" of 10+ points, which have been very poor teaser bets in general. On the other hand, home teams favored by 3 or less to underdogs of 3 or less have been excellent -- it must be noted though that home dogs have done very well against the spread historically and so the teaser results may be due to that rather than any particulars of the "range". Still, one of the goals of a good teaser play should be to pick up some of the key numbers in your cover range. If you tease a 2 point underdog, you now get the +3 and +7 results (very common occurrences) as part of your win range. Likewise teasing a favorite of 7.5 points now means that a 3 point or 7 point win will also count as a teaser cover.

Let's get to this week's teaser picks:

Jacksonville -2 -- Jaguars rated #4 in the NFL last season in our soccer style stats despite the 7-9 overall record, so it's no surpise that they are winning games in 2001. Teasing the line down below a field goal, I have confidence they'll get another W versus Cleveland.

New Orleans +9 -- the Saints are finding their bandwagon relatively full these days, and why not since they combine some nice skill players (Williams, Brooks, Horn) with a strong offensive line, and a playmaking defense. Off the long layoff against New York they should be ready to take on the Giants. A straight-up win is within the realm of possibility, and nine points seems generous enough on the teaser.

...those two plays make up the two-teamer. I'm having a hard time committing to a bigger ticket this week, and after considering ATL +3, MIN +8.5, BUF+9 and SF+9 all I can offer is a 3-teamer with:

Cincinnati +12.5 -- Bengals don't look like a fluke since they have always had a decent running game and some defense. With a semi-respectable passing attack (which they now seem to have) they should be competitive with all but the top teams. Chargers good so far, but don't strike me as champion quality just yet.

Season-To-Date Results: (+5.5 units) 2-Team Teasers: 2-0 4-Team Teasers: 0-1 5-Team Teasers: 1-0

Last week: nice to hit a big ticket early in the season, as the 5-teamer connects with San Diego, Oakland, the Giants, and Denver all doing the job on Sunday and then the Packers wrapping it up easily on Monday. None of the games really in doubt at the end, with four of the teams covering the spread outright, and the Raiders doing so up until the last five seconds. Review: Week 2 Teaser Picks Review: Week 1 Teaser Picks