Welcome to TwoMinuteWarning's teaser page! Generally we rely heavily on the TMW statistical reports, but for the first few weeks we will have to utilize some other strategies.

It's a good time to review what the history has been for teaser bets at certain line values (for the full table see the Week One Teaser Page):

The range to avoid on an overall basis is certainly the "big favorites" of 10+ points, which have been very poor teaser bets in general. On the other hand, home teams favored by 3 or less to underdogs of 3 or less have been excellent -- it must be noted though that home dogs have done very well against the spread historically and so the teaser results may be due to that rather than any particulars of the "range". Still, one of the goals of a good teaser play should be to pick up some of the key numbers in your cover range. If you tease a 2 point underdog, you now get the +3 and +7 results (very common occurrences) as part of your win range. Likewise teasing a favorite of 7.5 points now means that a 3 point or 7 point win will also count as a teaser cover.

Let's get to this week's teaser picks:

Green Bay +8.5 -- Not convinced that the Packers will win this one, but the Buc-O's offense is seldom good enough to blow a good team out.

New England +15.5 -- Looks like an awfully big line when you add in the teaser points. Dolphins also not the best on offense, so Miami winning by a huge margin is not too likely.

...those two plays make up the two-teamer. This week I'll throw out a 4-teamer and 6-teamer with:

Cincinnati +11 -- Bengals rubbish last week, but should make some headway against Pittsburgh or the first two weeks will be written off as a fluke.

Kansas City +16 -- Nothing like a game against Washington to get the old offense going...meanwhile Denver is trying to find a second receiver and a healthy running back. Chiefs won both meetings last season and should play well again here.

For the six-teamer add in:

Minnesota +9.5 -- Dennis Green always seems to find a way to overcome the year-to-year transitions and troubles. Vikes not playing up to snuff so far, but should be on track against the Saints.

Chicago +9.5 -- James Allen has arguably had the worst production of any starting running back in the NFL (see the TMW player rating over in the fantasy section for more on that), but the Bears defense is decent and the passing game has been a pleasant surprise.

Season-To-Date Results: (+3.4 units) 2-Team Teasers: 2-1 3-Team Teasers: 0-1 4-Team Teasers: 0-1 5-Team Teasers: 1-0

Last week: woulda, coulda, shoulda...teaser players in particular are afflicted with this disease, but without much confidence I forced a 3-team ticket that was doomed. 2-teamer wasn't so bad since with Brunell in there the whole game you've got to figure the Jaguars would win. Review: Week 3 Teaser Picks Review: Week 2 Teaser Picks Review: Week 1 Teaser Picks