Welcome to TwoMinuteWarning's teaser page!

Once again we'll post the history for teaser bets at certain line values (for the full table see the Week One Teaser Page):

The range to avoid on an overall basis is certainly the "big favorites" of 10+ points, which have been very poor teaser bets in general. On the other hand, home teams favored by 3 or less to underdogs of 3 or less have been excellent -- it must be noted though that home dogs have done very well against the spread historically and so the teaser results may be due to that rather than any particulars of the "range". Still, one of the goals of a good teaser play should be to pick up some of the key numbers in your cover range. If you tease a 2 point underdog, you now get the +3 and +7 results (very common occurrences) as part of your win range. Likewise teasing a favorite of 7.5 points now means that a 3 point or 7 point win will also count as a teaser cover.

Let's get to this week's teaser picks:

First off, from here on out I will be looking foremost at the Drive Chart 4+ overlay plays. These drive chart projections have produced excellent teaser results for the last three seasons. Moreover, with week five here, I will now amp up the number of tickets considerably.

The Drive Chart overlays, with corresponding historical teaser cover rates for the situation (home/away and point spread line) are: Chicago -1 (75% e.g. home favorites of -7 are 75% when teased down to -1), Green Bay +7 (67%), Tampa Bay +9 (66%), Minnesota -4 (74%), Dallas +3 (73%), Cleveland +8.5 (68%), St. Louis -4 (74%), Denver -1 (70%), New Orleans +1 (68%), San Diego +3 (68%), New York Jets +9 (75%), and Oakland +9.5 (68%).

While one option is to simply "round-robin" all the above teams (with 12 teams you're looking at 66 combinations for the 2-team tickets!), I'll put a little more effort into it than that:

5-Team Ticket -- Chicago -1, Minnesota -4, Dallas +3, St. Louis -4, NY Jets +9

4-Team Ticket -- Oakland +9.5, Tampa +9, NY Jets +9, St. Louis -4
4-Team Ticket -- New Orleans +1, Chicago -1, Denver -1, Dallas +3
4-Team Ticket -- New Orleans +1, Denver -1, St. Louis -4, Minnesota -4

3-Team Ticket -- Cleveland +8.5, Green Bay +7, San Diego +3
3-Team Ticket -- Oakland +9.5, Tampa +9, NY Jets +9

2-Team Tickets -- [1] Oakland-Tampa Bay, [2] Oakland-New York Jets, [3] Oakland-Denver, [4] Oakland-St.Louis, [5] Tampa Bay-New York Jets, [6] Tampa Bay-Denver, [7] New York Jets-Denver, [8] New York Jets-St. Louis, [9] New Orleans-Denver, [10] New Orleans-Chicago

Season-To-Date Results: (+0.3 units) 2-Team Teasers: 2-2 3-Team Teasers: 0-1 4-Team Teasers: 0-2 5-Team Teasers: 1-0 6-Team Teasers: 0-1

Last week: Patriots can't stay even remotely close, breaking the 2 + 4-teamers. Review: Week 4 Teaser Picks Review: Week 3 Teaser Picks Review: Week 2 Teaser Picks Review: Week 1 Teaser Picks