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Turnover Report
A quick query on the turnover success rate in week five games shows:
- All Turnovers: 115-73 (61.1%)
- Net Fumbles: 85-76 (52.8%)
- Net Interceptions: 110-79 (58.2%)
Yee-Haw! It's time to roll out the turnover plays! For those unfamiliar with our turnover research, you may want to review the following prior articles for background on this theory:
Let's see what we've got for week five:
All numbers represent season totals, not per game
you need at least a 2 net difference to qualify as pick
shown as away minus home: neg nums play away, pos nums play home
| Away Team |
Line
(Home) |
Home Team |
Net
INT |
Net
FUM |
Net
T/O |
INT
Pick |
FUM
Pick |
T/O
Pick |
| Arizona |
-7 |
Chicago |
-2 |
-8 |
-10 |
Ari |
ARI |
ARI |
| Baltimore |
+1 |
Green Bay |
4 |
-8 |
-4 |
GB |
BAL |
BAL |
| Cleveland |
-2.5 |
Cincinnati |
8 |
-5 |
3 |
CIN |
CLE |
Cin |
| Denver |
+7 |
Seattle |
6 |
1 |
7 |
SEA |
|
SEA |
| Detroit |
-10 |
Minnesota |
-7 |
5 |
-2 |
DET |
MIN |
Det |
| Miami |
+3 |
N.Y. Jets |
-8 |
-6 |
-14 |
MIA |
MIA |
MIA |
| New Orleans |
+5 |
Carolina |
0 |
4 |
4 |
|
CAR |
CAR |
| N.Y. Giants |
-10.5 |
St. Louis |
-4 |
-2 |
-6 |
NYG |
Nyg |
NYG |
| Pittsburgh |
-3 |
Kansas City |
0 |
-3 |
-3 |
|
Pit |
Pit |
| San Diego |
+3 |
New England |
4 |
6 |
10 |
NE |
NE |
NE |
| San Francisco |
+3 |
Atlanta |
-1 |
2 |
1 |
|
Atl |
|
| Tampa Bay |
-3 |
Tennessee |
10 |
-5 |
5 |
TEN |
TB |
TEN |
| Oakland |
-3.5 |
Indianapolis |
9 |
0 |
9 |
IND |
|
IND |
| Washington |
-2.5 |
Dallas |
4 |
-3 |
1 |
DAL |
Was |
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ANALYSIS: We don't argue with 61%. Since the Interception only plays were also good we'll make anything that qualifies as an overall T/O play and is not contradicted by the INT play a key play for us. That means Arizona +7 , Cincinnati -2.5, Seattle +7, Detroit +10 , Miami +3 , Carolina +5 , New York Giants +10.5 , Pittsburgh +3 , New England +3 , Tennessee -3 , and Indianapolis -3.5 .
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