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Please Note: The GF Report is put together by some of the TMW gamecharters who utilize various pieces of the TwoMinuteWarning data while providing their own analysis and interpretation.
GameFixers
Weekly Pro Picks
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NFL 2001 Season
Week 6
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"Predictions so good...
you'll think the games were fixed!"
Welcome to the GAMEFIXERS pro picks page -- thanks for stopping by. We are a group of skilled, veteran NFL Handicappers with sophisticated methods to help give you the edge in your 2001 Pro Football betting. Our philosophy towards sports betting is that we believe in the numbers. While technical and situational analysis has its place, in general our process hinges on getting access to the most accurate statistical data available to assess the games properly. With our well-connected status among top sports gambling information providers, we are able to get our hands on just what we need!
We are always happy to hear from our clients -- send comments to:
Gamefixers@hotmail.com
Week Six Plays
We will make no excuses for our performance so far. We WILL be ahead by the end of the season. Work hard and the results will come.
1) Play-By-Play Ratings
Data courtesy of TwoMinuteWarning.com
| Match-up |
Predicted
Score |
TMW
Line |
Line
(home) |
Pick |
Line
Diff |
| Green Bay at Minnesota |
GB 32-15 |
+17 |
+3 |
Green Bay |
14 |
| Denver at San Diego |
SD 27-16 |
-11 |
+2.5 |
San Diego |
13.5 |
| Chicago at Cincinnati |
CIN 24-13 |
-11 |
-1 |
Cincinnati |
10 |
| Tennessee at Detroit |
DET 23-20 |
-3 |
+6 |
Detroit |
9 |
| Philadelphia at N.Y. Giants |
PHI 20-15 |
+5 |
-3 |
Philadelphia |
8 |
| Kansas City at Arizona |
KC 28-19 |
+9 |
+2 |
Kansas City |
7 |
| New England at Indianapolis |
IND 26-21 |
-5 |
-10.5 |
New England |
5.5 |
| Atlanta at New Orleans |
NO 27-14 |
-13 |
-8.5 |
New Orleans |
4.5 |
| Baltimore at Cleveland |
BAL 18-15 |
+3 |
+7 |
Cleveland |
4 |
| St. Louis at N.Y. Jets |
STL 27-22 |
+5 |
+7 |
N.Y. Jets |
2 |
| Carolina at Washington |
CAR 20-17 |
+3 |
+3.5 |
Washington |
.5 |
| Pittsburgh at Tampa Bay |
TB 20-15 |
-5 |
-5.5 |
Pittsburgh |
.5 |
2) Ultimate Prediction Machine
Data courtesy of TwoMinuteWarning.com
| Matchup |
Line
(home) |
Pick |
Cover % |
| Atlanta at New Orleans |
-8.5 |
Atlanta |
53 % |
| Baltimore at Cleveland |
+7 |
Cleveland |
75 % |
| Carolina at Washington |
+3.5 |
Washington |
52 % |
| Chicago at Cincinnati |
-1 |
Chicago |
55 % |
| Denver at San Diego |
+2.5 |
San Diego |
71 % |
| Green Bay at Minnesota |
+3 |
Green Bay |
67 % |
| Kansas City at Arizona |
+2 |
Kansas City |
57 % |
| New England at Indianapolis |
-10.5 |
New England |
67 % |
| Pittsburgh at Tampa Bay |
-5.5 |
Pittsburgh |
60 % |
| St. Louis at N.Y. Jets |
+7 |
N.Y. Jets |
53 % |
| Tennessee at Detroit |
+6 |
Detroit |
57 % |
| Philadelphia at N.Y. Giants |
-3 |
Philadelphia |
65 % |
3) Trends
The following table lists the four most predictive statistical factors based on the results against the spread when playing the team with the HIGHER numbers.
Week 6 Stat Comparison results 1991-2000
(Results expressed as W-L vs the spread)
| Factor |
Home
W-L |
Home
W% |
Away
W-L |
Away
W% |
Total
W-L |
Total
W% |
| Pass Yds Last game |
31 - 26 |
54 % |
36 - 25 |
59 % |
67 - 51 |
56 % |
| Forced Turnovers STD |
21 - 36 |
36 % |
24 - 32 |
42 % |
45 - 68 |
39 % |
| Punts STD |
28 - 47 |
37 % |
15 - 24 |
38 % |
43 - 71 |
37 % |
| 3rd Down Conv STD |
27 - 23 |
54 % |
37 - 26 |
58 % |
64 - 49 |
56 % |
ANALYSIS: For the data above the factors in light green are positive factors, the dark green are negative factors. Here are the teams with the Trends edge:
| Match-Up |
Line
(Home) |
Four Factor
Scorecard |
Trend
Pick |
| Atlanta at New Orleans |
-8.5 |
Atlanta 4-0 |
Atlanta |
| Baltimore at Cleveland |
+7 |
Baltimore 4-0 |
Baltimore |
| Carolina at Washington |
+3.5 |
Carolina 3-1 |
|
| Chicago at Cincinnati |
-1 |
Cincinnati 3-1 |
|
| Denver at San Diego |
Off |
San Diego 2-1 |
|
| Green Bay at Minnesota |
+3 |
Green Bay 2-1 |
|
| Kansas City at Arizona |
+2 |
Arizona 2-1 |
|
| New England at Indianapolis |
-10.5 |
Indianapolis 3-1 |
|
| Pittsburgh at Tampa Bay |
-5.5 |
Pittsburgh 3-1 |
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| St. Louis at N.Y. Jets |
+7 |
St. Louis 4-0 |
St. Louis |
| Tennessee at Detroit |
+6 |
Detroit 3-0 |
Detroit |
| Philadelphia at N.Y. Giants |
-3 |
Philadelphia 2-1 |
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4) Motivation Analysis
- Kansas City at Arizona: AFC West teams look forward to games against the weak NFC East teams. This season we've seen Denver beat Arizona 38-17, San Diego beat Dallas 32-21, the Raiders beat Dallas 28-21, Kansas City beat Washington 45-13, and San Diego beat Washington 30-3. Add it up and it's 5-0 for the AFC guys with an average score of 35-15!
Strong Pick Kansas City -2
- Pittsburgh at Tampa Bay: I'm so bored of hearing people talk about how Tampa Bay can't win in cold weather. Yes it's true but Duh everyone knows it. What people don't say is it works both ways. Lots of teams can't win in the Tampa heat anymore. Tampa was 6-2 at home in 2000 and 7-1 at home in 1999. They have only played one game at home this year and beat the great Green Bay team. Playing three of first four on the road is hard. Getting back home is nice. Weather in Pittsburgh these days is in the 50s...in Tampa 80s.
Pick Tampa Bay -5.5
- New York Giants at Philadelphia: Giants took all three games versus the Eagles in 2000 season and both games in 1999. Lots of people looking for the New York team to fall on its face after making the Super Bowl last year. Let me tell you it ain't going to happen. Giants defense is great and schedule is easy. If they win against Philadelphia they have Washington, Dallas and Arizona next which means they should be 7-2 in no time. The Eagles are not so great. They beat Seattle and Dallas so what? They lost to St. Louis and ARIZONA! (I know, I know I was on Philadelphia in that game...it was a big mistake and I won't make it again)
Pick New York Giants -3
5) FINAL PICKS FOR WEEK SIX
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2-Unit Plays
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1-Unit Plays
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- New England +11 (Caesars)
- Kansas City -2
- Detroit +5.5
- Green Bay -3
- San Diego +3 (Caesars)
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In cases where a line is not commonly available,
we list the casino at which we found it
***
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Season-To-Date Record:
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- 2-unit plays: 8-9 (-3.8 units)
- 1-unit plays: 1-8 (-7.8 units)
- All Plays: 9-17 (-11.6 units)
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Archive File: Week 5 GF Report
Archive File: Week 4 GF Report
Archive File: Week 3 GF Report
Archive File: Week 2 GF Report
[GameFixers Report for Week 1 was NOT POSTED on TwoMinuteWarning
and week 1 picks are not included in the season-to-date record]
To view file see GF Report 0910
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