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The Ultimate Prediction Machine!
Money-Line Analysis
The Ultimate Prediction Machine simulates each NFL matchup two-thousand times
using our exclusive TwoMinuteWarning Drive Chart stats. We then
calculate an expected win percentage for each team and a fair value
money-line, which can be compared to the official money line odds.
NFL Week 6 , 2001
| Team |
Win % |
UPM M/L |
Money Line |
ML Pick |
| Buffalo |
16 % |
+517 |
+323 |
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| Jacksonville |
83 % |
-517 |
-420 |
|
| Atlanta |
32 % |
+207 |
+281 |
Atlanta |
| New Orleans |
67 % |
-207 |
-360 |
|
| Baltimore |
47 % |
+111 |
-334 |
|
| Cleveland |
52 % |
-111 |
+263 |
Cleveland |
| Carolina |
62 % |
-163 |
-178 |
|
| Washington |
37 % |
+163 |
+151 |
|
| Chicago |
54 % |
-120 |
-106 |
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| Cincinnati |
45 % |
+120 |
-113 |
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| Denver |
38 % |
+162 |
-155 |
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| San Diego |
61 % |
-162 |
+132 |
San Diego |
| Green Bay |
73 % |
-281 |
-165 |
(Green Bay) |
| Minnesota |
26 % |
+281 |
+141 |
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| Kansas City |
65 % |
-185 |
-136 |
(Kansas City) |
| Arizona |
35 % |
+185 |
+114 |
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| New England |
37 % |
+165 |
+398 |
New England |
| Indianapolis |
62 % |
-165 |
-549 |
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| Pittsburgh |
44 % |
+122 |
+190 |
Pittsburgh |
| Tampa Bay |
55 % |
-122 |
-235 |
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| St. Louis |
66 % |
-194 |
-324 |
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| N.Y. Jets |
33 % |
+194 |
+255 |
(N.Y. Jets) |
| Tennessee |
61 % |
-161 |
-246 |
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| Detroit |
38 % |
+161 |
+199 |
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| Philadelphia |
56 % |
-128 |
+138 |
Philadelphia |
| N.Y. Giants |
43 % |
+128 |
-163 |
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Season-To-Date Record:
Small Edge Plays (10%-19% edge): 2-1 +100
Large Edge Plays (20%-99% edge): 3-3 +84
All Plays: 5-4 +184
net won/loss expressed based on $100 unit
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