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Please Note: The GF Report is put together by some of the TMW gamecharters who utilize various pieces of the TwoMinuteWarning data while providing their own analysis and interpretation.
GameFixers
Weekly Pro Picks
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NFL 2001 Season
Week 7
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"Predictions so good...
you'll think the games were fixed!"
Welcome to the GAMEFIXERS pro picks page -- thanks for stopping by. We are a group of skilled, veteran NFL Handicappers with sophisticated methods to help give you the edge in your 2001 Pro Football betting. Our philosophy towards sports betting is that we believe in the numbers. While technical and situational analysis has its place, in general our process hinges on getting access to the most accurate statistical data available to assess the games properly. With our well-connected status among top sports gambling information providers, we are able to get our hands on just what we need!
We are always happy to hear from our clients -- send comments to:
Gamefixers@hotmail.com
Week Seven Plays
Our approach looks for consensus among several primary stats. This week we will be including a turnover angle system as part of our analysis.
1) Play-By-Play Ratings
Data courtesy of TwoMinuteWarning.com
| Match-up |
Predicted
Score |
TMW
Line |
Line
(home) |
Pick |
Line
Diff |
| Buffalo at San Diego |
SD 36-9 |
-27 |
-8 |
San Diego |
19 |
| Tennessee at Pittsburgh |
PIT 28-9 |
-19 |
-3 |
Pittsburgh |
16 |
| Miami at Seattle |
SEA 22-15 |
-7 |
+2.5 |
Seattle |
9.5 |
| N.Y. Jets at Carolina |
NYJ 28-17 |
+11 |
+2.5 |
N.Y. Jets |
8.5 |
| San Francisco at Chicago |
SF 25-20 |
+5 |
-2.5 |
San Francisco |
7.5 |
| New England at Denver |
DEN 24-23 |
-1 |
-7.5 |
New England |
6.5 |
| N.Y Giants at Washington |
NYG 24-11 |
+13 |
+7.5 |
N.Y Giants |
5.5 |
| Arizona at Dallas |
ARI 26-19 |
+7 |
+3 |
Arizona |
4 |
| Oakland at Philadelphia |
PHI 21-18 |
-3 |
-1 |
Philadelphia |
2 |
| Jacksonville at Baltimore |
BAL 24-15 |
-9 |
-7.5 |
Baltimore |
1.5 |
| New Orleans at St. Louis |
STL 25-14 |
-11 |
-12 |
New Orleans |
1 |
| Cincinnati at Detroit |
DET 22-19 |
-3 |
-3 |
|
0 |
| Minnesota at Tampa Bay |
TB 23-20 |
-3 |
-3 |
|
0 |
2) Ultimate Prediction Machine
Data courtesy of TwoMinuteWarning.com
| Matchup |
Line
(home) |
Pick |
Cover % |
| Arizona at Dallas |
+0 |
Dallas |
53 % |
| Buffalo at San Diego |
-8 |
San Diego |
68 % |
| Cincinnati at Detroit |
-3 |
Cincinnati |
67 % |
| Jacksonville at Baltimore |
-7.5 |
Jacksonville |
64 % |
| Miami at Seattle |
+2.5 |
Seattle |
64 % |
| Minnesota at Tampa Bay |
-3 |
Minnesota |
56 % |
| New England at Denver |
-7.5 |
New England |
68 % |
| New Orleans at St. Louis |
-12 |
New Orleans |
58 % |
| N.Y. Jets at Carolina |
+2.5 |
Carolina |
59 % |
| Oakland at Philadelphia |
-1 |
Philadelphia |
54 % |
| San Francisco at Chicago |
-2.5 |
Chicago |
61 % |
| N.Y Giants at Washington |
+7.5 |
Washington |
56 % |
| Tennessee at Pittsburgh |
-3 |
Pittsburgh |
66 % |
3) Red Zone Stats
Using the TMW Drive Chart Red Zone Stats we create a predicted score
for every game each week. We then compare our projection to the
actual line to calculate the overlay.
| Match-up |
Predicted
Score |
TMW
Line |
Line
(home) |
Pick |
Overlay |
| Miami at Seattle |
SEA 30-17 |
-13 |
+2.5 |
Seattle |
15.5 |
| Oakland at Philadelphia |
PHI 28-15 |
-13 |
-1 |
Philadelphia |
12 |
| N.Y Giants at Washington |
NYG 26-9 |
+17 |
+7.5 |
N.Y Giants |
9.5 |
| Cincinnati at Detroit |
CIN 22-17 |
+5 |
-3 |
Cincinnati |
8 |
| Tennessee at Pittsburgh |
TEN 21-16 |
+5 |
-3 |
Tennessee |
8 |
| New Orleans at St. Louis |
STL 25-20 |
-5 |
-12 |
New Orleans |
7 |
| Jacksonville at Baltimore |
BAL 20-19 |
-1 |
-7.5 |
Jacksonville |
6.5 |
| N.Y. Jets at Carolina |
NYJ 26-17 |
+9 |
+2.5 |
N.Y. Jets |
6.5 |
| New England at Denver |
DEN 23-20 |
-3 |
-7.5 |
New England |
4.5 |
| Buffalo at San Diego |
SD 24-19 |
-5 |
-8 |
Buffalo |
3 |
| Minnesota at Tampa Bay |
TB 22-21 |
-1 |
-3 |
Minnesota |
2 |
| Arizona at Dallas |
ARI 24-19 |
+5 |
+3 |
Arizona |
2 |
| San Francisco at Chicago |
CHI 22-19 |
-3 |
-2.5 |
Chicago |
.5 |
4) Turnover Angle
All numbers represent season totals, not per game
you need at least a 3 net difference to qualify as pick
shown as away minus home: neg nums play away, pos nums play home
| Away Team |
Line
(Home) |
Home Team |
Net
INT |
Net
FUM |
Net
T/O |
INT
Pick |
FUM
Pick |
T/O
Pick |
| Arizona |
+3 |
Dallas |
6 |
-5 |
1 |
DAL |
ARI |
|
| Buffalo |
-8 |
San Diego |
-10 |
-6 |
-16 |
BUF |
BUF |
BUF |
| Cincinnati |
-3 |
Detroit |
5 |
6 |
11 |
DET |
DET |
DET |
| Jacksonville |
-7.5 |
Baltimore |
2 |
6 |
8 |
|
BAL |
BAL |
| Miami |
+2.5 |
Seattle |
-4 |
-2 |
-6 |
MIA |
|
|
| Minnesota |
-3 |
Tampa Bay |
-8 |
-6 |
-14 |
MIN |
MIN |
MIN |
| New England |
-7.5 |
Denver |
3 |
-3 |
0 |
DEN |
NE |
|
| New Orleans |
-12 |
St. Louis |
-3 |
7 |
4 |
NO |
STL |
STL |
| N.Y. Jets |
+2.5 |
Carolina |
8 |
9 |
17 |
CAR |
CAR |
CAR |
| Oakland |
-1 |
Philadelphia |
4 |
-1 |
3 |
PHI |
|
PHI |
| San Francisco |
-2.5 |
Chicago |
5 |
-6 |
-1 |
CHI |
SF |
|
| N.Y Giants |
+7.5 |
Washington |
-4 |
7 |
3 |
NYG |
WAS |
WAS |
| Tennessee |
-3 |
Pittsburgh |
-6 |
9 |
3 |
TEN |
PIT |
PIT |
ANALYSIS: The net turnover plays in week seven only so-so and the FUM numbers are in the red. To get our key plays we want the interception and net T/O on the same page and the INT to be at least 6 different (1/game). That means Buffalo +8 , Minnesota +3, and Carolina +2.5.
5) FINAL PICKS FOR WEEK SEVEN
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2-Unit Plays
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1-Unit Plays
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- New England +7.5 (Stations)
- Cincinnati +3
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- Minnesota +3
- Seattle +3 (Caesars)
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In cases where a line is not commonly available,
we list the casino at which we found it
***
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Season-To-Date Record:
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- 2-unit plays: 11-11 (-2.2 units)
- 1-unit plays: 1-9 (-8.9 units)
- All Plays: 12-20 (-11.1 units)
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Archive File: Week 6 GF Report
Archive File: Week 5 GF Report
Archive File: Week 4 GF Report
Archive File: Week 3 GF Report
Archive File: Week 2 GF Report
[GameFixers Report for Week 1 was NOT POSTED on TwoMinuteWarning
and week 1 picks are not included in the season-to-date record]
To view file see GF Report 0910
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