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Turnover Report
A quick query on the turnover success rate in week seven games shows:
- All Turnovers: 86-77 (52.8%)
- Net Fumbles: 65-71 (47.8%)
- Net Interceptions: 81-69 (54.0%)
Not too strong overall then in week seven, but here's another detail worth knowing: Net Interceptions were 51-34 (60%) when the difference was one or more per game. For those unfamiliar with our turnover research, you may want to review the following prior articles for background on this theory:
Let's see what we've got for week seven:
All numbers represent season totals, not per game
you need at least a 3 net difference to qualify as pick
shown as away minus home: neg nums play away, pos nums play home
| Away Team |
Line
(Home) |
Home Team |
Net
INT |
Net
FUM |
Net
T/O |
INT
Pick |
FUM
Pick |
T/O
Pick |
| Indianapolis |
+3 |
Kansas City |
-5 |
-4 |
-9 |
IND |
IND |
IND |
| Arizona |
pick'em |
Dallas |
6 |
-5 |
1 |
DAL |
ARI |
|
| Buffalo |
-8 |
San Diego |
-10 |
-6 |
-16 |
BUF |
BUF |
BUF |
| Cincinnati |
-3 |
Detroit |
5 |
6 |
11 |
DET |
DET |
DET |
| Jacksonville |
-7.5 |
Baltimore |
2 |
6 |
8 |
|
BAL |
BAL |
| Miami |
+2.5 |
Seattle |
-4 |
-2 |
-6 |
MIA |
|
|
| Minnesota |
-3 |
Tampa Bay |
-8 |
-6 |
-14 |
MIN |
MIN |
MIN |
| New England |
-7.5 |
Denver |
3 |
-3 |
0 |
DEN |
NE |
|
| New Orleans |
-12 |
St. Louis |
-3 |
7 |
4 |
NO |
STL |
STL |
| N.Y. Jets |
+2.5 |
Carolina |
8 |
9 |
17 |
CAR |
CAR |
CAR |
| Oakland |
-1 |
Philadelphia |
4 |
-1 |
3 |
PHI |
|
PHI |
| San Francisco |
-2.5 |
Chicago |
5 |
-6 |
-1 |
CHI |
SF |
|
| N.Y Giants |
+7.5 |
Washington |
-4 |
7 |
3 |
NYG |
WAS |
WAS |
| Tennessee |
-3 |
Pittsburgh |
-6 |
9 |
3 |
TEN |
PIT |
PIT |
ANALYSIS: The net turnover plays in week seven only so-so and the FUM numbers are in the red. To get our key plays we want the interception and net T/O on the same page and the INT to be at least 6 different (1/game). That means Buffalo +8 , Minnesota +3, and Carolina +2.5.
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