Tim has been pushing for a long time for his beloved "Week That Was" feature to be developed into a full fledged handicapping tool. At long last he's getting his wish, as the weekly play-by-play level detail will be part of the new TwoMinuteWarning NFL Past Performances!
The staff here hopes the TMW PP's can provide a new approach to football handicapping.
TMW PP's: Indianapolis at Chicago (+7)
PSR: 'Play Success Rate' - every play is graded as either a success of failure
Big: Percentage of plays that went for big gains...10+ yards for a run, 20+ for a pass
Yds: Adjusted yards per play, including penalties and excluding non-plays
EFR: 'Effectiveness rating' - a one number overall summary
Stats: This is the projected score based on the stats. This column lets us know who 'should' have won.
Indianapolis
Offense
Defense
Rushing
Passing
Rushing
Passing
Week
Opp
Line
Score
Stats
PSR
Big
Yds
EFR
PSR
Big
Yds
EFR
PSR
Big
Yds
EFR
PSR
Big
Yds
EFR
20
NE
-3
38-34
42-9
60%
10%
3.8
90
50%
8%
6.8
125
34%
4%
4.0
65
41%
6%
6.0
86
19
@BAL
+4
15-6
10-13
43%
3%
2.9
62
39%
6%
4.7
63
50%
5%
4.1
95
29%
6%
4.3
44
18
KC
-7
23-8
31-0
57%
16%
5.0
118
61%
5%
6.3
100
29%
0%
2.5
35
39%
4%
2.9
32
17
MIA
-9
27-22
44-19
45%
6%
3.0
64
56%
10%
7.2
153
53%
12%
5.2
100
43%
5%
5.5
94
16
@HOU
-9.5
24-27
52-33
52%
29%
6.7
123
66%
11%
7.5
159
61%
7%
4.5
111
56%
9%
7.0
126
15
CIN
-3.5
34-16
49-16
34%
14%
3.8
68
71%
5%
7.4
164
55%
14%
4.2
96
38%
9%
4.7
94
14
@JAC
-2
17-44
26-25
55%
0%
1.7
90
42%
9%
6.1
103
58%
33%
9.6
161
43%
0%
4.6
56
13
@TEN
-7.5
17-20
33-24
50%
0%
3.2
71
64%
16%
10.8
132
45%
18%
5.8
93
46%
15%
7.2
99
12
PHI
-9.5
45-21
56-23
71%
23%
6.1
141
69%
10%
9.3
159
64%
24%
5.9
128
54%
0%
4.7
90
11
@DAL
-1.5
14-21
14-47
54%
5%
3.6
81
45%
5%
5.9
88
46%
9%
3.5
96
68%
16%
9.0
144
10
BUF
-12
17-16
42-9
70%
7%
5.5
129
58%
3%
6.0
130
19%
3%
3.5
25
50%
11%
4.1
83
9
@NE
+2
27-20
29-12
22%
5%
2.5
40
54%
14%
8.0
130
62%
13%
4.3
118
46%
10%
5.8
48
Avg.
-5
24-21
35-19
51%
9%
4.0
89
56%
8%
7.2
125
48%
11%
4.8
93
46%
7%
5.5
83
Chicago
Offense
Defense
Rushing
Passing
Rushing
Passing
Week
Opp
Line
Score
Stats
PSR
Big
Yds
EFR
PSR
Big
Yds
EFR
PSR
Big
Yds
EFR
PSR
Big
Yds
EFR
20
NO
-2.5
39-14
24-19
50%
14%
4.4
88
26%
12%
5.5
88
54%
18%
4.3
90
46%
6%
5.6
85
19
SEA
-8.5
27-24
18-21
41%
3%
3.3
67
37%
12%
6.0
86
48%
23%
3.9
106
42%
6%
5.1
74
17
GB
-2.5
7-26
0-25
52%
16%
4.7
88
20%
10%
4.9
-18
34%
6%
3.1
59
44%
7%
6.2
84
16
@DET
-4.5
26-21
26-17
46%
9%
3.0
81
42%
6%
5.4
100
47%
12%
4.0
58
44%
6%
4.8
93
15
TB
-13
34-31
39-6
47%
6%
3.7
75
46%
9%
6.6
131
36%
5%
3.0
52
35%
6%
6.1
75
14
@STL
-6.5
42-27
51-24
41%
6%
4.9
83
55%
28%
9.7
175
59%
18%
4.5
100
50%
8%
5.4
105
13
MIN
-9.5
23-13
0-25
40%
18%
4.0
81
15%
0%
1.2
-40
45%
18%
5.7
103
34%
4%
3.8
32
12
@NE
+3
13-17
8-33
50%
11%
4.2
83
34%
11%
6.5
65
31%
3%
2.7
48
54%
20%
8.0
125
11
@NYJ
-7
10-0
12-11
47%
15%
5.1
76
16%
8%
4.2
50
36%
10%
3.6
66
41%
3%
4.0
50
10
@NYG
+2.5
38-20
34-9
44%
8%
3.3
63
50%
18%
7.4
126
43%
17%
6.0
113
31%
0%
3.2
48
9
MIA
-14
13-31
9-16
46%
7%
3.6
75
34%
4%
4.2
51
50%
18%
4.7
100
37%
6%
4.4
56
Avg.
-6
24-20
20-18
45%
10%
4.0
78
34%
10%
5.6
74
43%
13%
4.1
81
41%
6%
5.1
75
Note: team averages are averages per game as opposed to an average of all plays individually.
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