Tim has been pushing for a long time for his beloved "Week That Was" feature to be developed into a full fledged handicapping tool. At long last he's getting his wish, as the weekly play-by-play level detail will be part of the new TwoMinuteWarning NFL Past Performances!
The staff here hopes the TMW PP's can provide a new approach to football handicapping.
TMW PP's: Kansas City at Arizona (+3)
PSR: 'Play Success Rate' - every play is graded as either a success of failure
Big: Percentage of plays that went for big gains...10+ yards for a run, 20+ for a pass
Yds: Adjusted yards per play, including penalties and excluding non-plays
EFR: 'Effectiveness rating' - a one number overall summary
Stats: This is the projected score based on the stats. This column lets us know who 'should' have won.
Kansas City
Offense
Defense
Rushing
Passing
Rushing
Passing
Week
Opp
Line
Score
Stats
PSR
Big
Yds
EFR
PSR
Big
Yds
EFR
PSR
Big
Yds
EFR
PSR
Big
Yds
EFR
4
SF
-7
41-0
37-3
31%
8%
3.0
55
66%
8%
9.4
174
42%
10%
3.9
71
32%
3%
2.3
22
2
@DEN
+10.5
6-9
24-21
47%
9%
4.2
79
45%
4%
5.4
100
41%
18%
4.3
70
39%
10%
5.7
93
1
CIN
-2
10-23
7-28
38%
10%
4.0
76
36%
6%
3.5
55
30%
6%
3.5
66
52%
5%
5.0
104
Avg.
+.5
19-10
22-17
38%
9%
3.7
70
49%
6%
6.1
109
37%
11%
3.9
69
41%
6%
4.3
73
Arizona
Offense
Defense
Rushing
Passing
Rushing
Passing
Week
Opp
Line
Score
Stats
PSR
Big
Yds
EFR
PSR
Big
Yds
EFR
PSR
Big
Yds
EFR
PSR
Big
Yds
EFR
4
@ATL
+7.5
10-32
0-27
29%
0%
1.3
33
47%
3%
4.7
67
44%
17%
6.4
94
40%
11%
6.8
74
3
STL
-4.5
14-16
13-40
51%
4%
3.4
77
46%
10%
8.5
83
29%
7%
2.3
48
57%
21%
10.1
154
2
@SEA
+7
10-21
9-18
33%
10%
2.6
52
43%
4%
4.5
73
48%
14%
4.2
94
34%
13%
5.9
59
1
SF
-8
34-27
28-31
40%
3%
2.4
60
50%
8%
6.8
125
55%
17%
5.9
127
40%
12%
6.6
97
Avg.
+.5
17-24
12-29
38%
4%
2.4
55
46%
6%
6.1
87
44%
13%
4.7
90
42%
14%
7.4
96
Note: team averages are averages per game as opposed to an average of all plays individually.
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