Tim has been pushing for a long time for his beloved "Week That Was" feature to be developed into a full fledged handicapping tool. At long last he's getting his wish, as the weekly play-by-play level detail will be part of the new TwoMinuteWarning NFL Past Performances!
The staff here hopes the TMW PP's can provide a new approach to football handicapping.
TMW PP's: N.Y. Jets at Jacksonville (-7 )
PSR: 'Play Success Rate' - every play is graded as either a success of failure
Big: Percentage of plays that went for big gains...10+ yards for a run, 20+ for a pass
Yds: Adjusted yards per play, including penalties and excluding non-plays
EFR: 'Effectiveness rating' - a one number overall summary
Stats: This is the projected score based on the stats. This column lets us know who 'should' have won.
N.Y. Jets
Offense
Defense
Rushing
Passing
Rushing
Passing
Week
Opp
Line
Score
Stats
PSR
Big
Yds
EFR
PSR
Big
Yds
EFR
PSR
Big
Yds
EFR
PSR
Big
Yds
EFR
4
IND
+9
28-31
22-43
51%
5%
3.5
78
60%
4%
6.1
110
59%
5%
4.0
110
63%
6%
6.4
136
3
@BUF
+6
28-20
17-32
40%
0%
3.1
77
38%
3%
6.0
93
62%
16%
4.9
106
40%
16%
6.8
97
2
NE
+6
17-24
15-32
29%
0%
1.7
25
58%
10%
7.4
112
51%
10%
3.5
76
50%
16%
7.6
118
1
@TEN
+2.5
23-16
36-15
33%
6%
2.0
51
58%
10%
8.1
141
56%
0%
3.4
96
40%
7%
5.2
73
Avg.
+5.5
24-22
22-30
38%
2%
2.6
57
53%
6%
6.9
114
57%
7%
3.9
97
48%
11%
6.5
106
Jacksonville
Offense
Defense
Rushing
Passing
Rushing
Passing
Week
Opp
Line
Score
Stats
PSR
Big
Yds
EFR
PSR
Big
Yds
EFR
PSR
Big
Yds
EFR
PSR
Big
Yds
EFR
4
@WAS
-2.5
30-36
7-40
25%
0%
2.2
33
35%
14%
6.4
85
48%
13%
3.5
84
53%
19%
10.2
131
3
@IND
+7
14-21
10-27
63%
13%
4.9
105
48%
0%
4.0
54
38%
6%
3.6
72
38%
15%
5.8
97
2
PIT
+1
9-0
28-0
19%
12%
4.0
38
46%
5%
6.2
102
14%
0%
1.8
7
30%
0%
4.4
47
1
DAL
-2.5
24-17
32-3
48%
3%
2.1
64
52%
8%
6.4
108
36%
9%
3.5
68
36%
11%
6.0
60
Avg.
+.5
19-18
19-17
38%
7%
3.3
60
45%
6%
5.7
87
34%
7%
3.1
57
39%
11%
6.6
83
Note: team averages are averages per game as opposed to an average of all plays individually.
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