Week 7: Play by Play
We compile a number of different ratings from examinging every play of every NFL game. For more background see the Case for Better Numbers article.
Buffalo at Oakland
Play By Play Stats
| Buffalo |
Rush
PSR |
Rush
Big |
Rush
Yds |
Rush
EFR |
Pass
PSR |
Pass
Big |
Pass
Yds |
Pass
EFR |
| BUF - Offense |
43% |
12% |
4.1 |
80 |
39% |
3% |
3.9 |
63 |
| OAK - Defense |
-2% |
+0% |
-.5 |
-5 |
+6% |
+2% |
+1.3 |
+26 |
| BUF - Projection |
41% |
12% |
3.6 |
75 |
45% |
5% |
5.2 |
89 |
| Oakland |
Rush
PSR |
Rush
Big |
Rush
Yds |
Rush
EFR |
Pass
PSR |
Pass
Big |
Pass
Yds |
Pass
EFR |
| OAK - Offense |
42% |
7% |
2.9 |
68 |
38% |
10% |
6.2 |
96 |
| BUF - Defense |
+5% |
+5% |
+1.5 |
+21 |
-7% |
+1% |
-.9 |
-26 |
| OAK - Projection |
47% |
12% |
4.4 |
89 |
31% |
11% |
5.3 |
70 |
Projected Score (Play by Play)
| Team |
SCORE |
Buffalo
Oakland |
19
18 |
Analysis: Buffalo is predicted to win this game. The statistics are all full season which means it includes several games where Losman was the Quarterback. Both games with Holcomb have seen Buffalo make 50% play success rate passing. So keep that in mind: Buffalo's numbers are likely to be better than shown on the year average. Oakland's pass defense is bad and should allow another high PSR game combined with strong running from Willis McGahee. Oakland on offense relies on the big play. Their PSR passing is just 38% and if Moss is out for this game then they are in big trouble. Buffalo's defense is excellent. Barring bombs the Bill should win.
Favor: Buffalo +3
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