Featuring NFL Picks and Analysis
NFL picks for football
  Home | Free Picks | Office Pools | Premium Picks | Research/Stats | Message Boards | Contact Us


Bet your picks at Bodog.com!

NFL Best Bet Picks

- Updated every Wednesday by 3pm Pacific Time -
If you are not seeing the current week, your browser is loading a cached page.

Each week the person in charge of a subscriber feature can submit a 'best bet' selection. These have proved to be very potent since the introduction of this concept three years ago, and we will present a best bet freebie on this page each week to showcase the range of our various subscriber handicapping tools.


Week 8: U.P.M.

The Ultimate Prediction Machine!

The Ultimate Prediction Machine simulates each NFL matchup five-thousand times using our exclusive TwoMinuteWarning Drive Chart stats. Each simulated score is compared against the line on the game to assess who would have covered and the numbers are compiled to give a confidence value to the chances of each team covering.

NFL Week 8 , 2005
Matchup
Line
(home)
Pick
Cover %
Arizona at Dallas
-9
Arizona
67 %
Chicago at Detroit
-3
Chicago
62 %
Cleveland at Houston
-2
Cleveland
83 %
Green Bay at Cincinnati
-9
Green Bay
64 %
Jacksonville at St. Louis
+3
Jacksonville
52 %
Miami at New Orleans
-2
Miami
56 %
Minnesota at Carolina
-8
Carolina
54 %
Oakland at Tennessee
+1.5
Oakland
61 %
Washington at N.Y. Giants
-2
Washington
64 %
Kansas City at San Diego
-6
Kansas City
59 %
Philadelphia at Denver
-3.5
Philadelphia
58 %
Tampa Bay at San Francisco
+11
Tampa Bay
68 %
Buffalo at New England
-9
Buffalo
76 %
Baltimore at Pittsburgh
-9.5
Baltimore
55 %


Analysis: it's extraordinary to see a UPM simulation result of 83% confidence at this stage of the season. This may well be the highest number we've ever seen beyond the first month and we're in week eight now. On the downside teams without a win tend to be fierce in the chasing of that first elusive win, but at the same time Houston's record as a favorite is deplorable.

Favor: Cleveland +2

What do you think? Make your opinion known on the Message Boards

Best Bet Performance Records
The "Best Bet" column was introduced for the 2002 coverage, allowing feature editors to highlight one play as the best option of the week (editors can elect not to provide a best bet if none seem worthy of the honor).

Feature
2002-2004
3-Yr W%
Inside the 20
29-14
67%
Injury Report
30-15
67%
DC/TO
26-14
65%
Trends
32-18
64%
Drive Charts
28-16
64%
CSM
15-9
63%
Full Story
22-14
61%
Turnovers
25-16
61%
Last 5 UPM
20-17
54%
Play-By-Play
21-21
50%
UPM
23-24
49%
Angles
9-16
36%

-- The Free Best Bet Picks combined for a record of 10-7 (59%) during the 2004 season

2004 Season Archive
Week One: Trends
Week Two: Week That Was
Week Three: Angles
Week Four: Drive Chart Dogs
Week Five: Inside the 20
Week Six: Square Money
Week Seven: DC/TO
Week Eight: Turnover Difference
Week Nine: CSM
Week Ten: Stats Force
Week Eleven: UPM
Week Twelve: O/U Regressor
Week Thirteen: Regressor
Week Fourteen: Injury Report
Week Fifteen: Play-By-Play Ratings
Week Sixteen: Player/Team Connection
Week Seventeen: Last 5 UPM

2005 Season Archive
Week One: CSM
Week Two: Angles
Week Three: Week That Was
Week Four: Stats Force
Week Five: DC/TO
Week Six: Inside the 20
Week Seven: Play by Play

We want your feedback! Tell us your thoughts
Copyright © 2005 by TwoMinuteWarning.com, All Rights Reserved
P.O Box 43, Aptos, California 95003
(831) 661-0764