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NFL 2004
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NFL Best Bets
- Updated every Wednesday by 3pm Pacific Time -
If you are not seeing the current week after that time, your browser is loading a cached page (a common problem for AOL users).
Each week the person in charge of a feature is on the hook for giving out a 'best bet' selection -- these have proved to be very potent!
| Category |
2003 |
2002 |
2-Yr W% |
| Trends |
10-7 |
11-2 |
70% |
| DC/TO |
14-6 |
n/a |
70% |
| Turnover Column |
11-5 |
9-4 |
69% |
| Injury Report |
12-6 |
7-4 |
66% |
| Inside the 20 |
11-4 |
8-6 |
66% |
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Week 1: Trends
The following table shows how teams with a certain number of regular season wins the prior year have done in their season opener, broken out for home/away and overall:
Week 1 results 1984-2003
(for specific prior season win numbers)
| Prior Yr Wins |
Spread Record
(home) |
Spread Record
(away) |
Overall Record |
| 1 |
4 - 0 |
2 - 0 |
6 - 0 |
| 2 |
3 - 4 |
2 - 3 |
5 - 7 |
| 3 |
10 - 6 |
3 - 6 |
13 - 12 |
| 4 |
14 - 9 |
8 - 9 |
22 - 18 |
| 5 |
9 - 12 |
9 - 9 |
18 - 21 |
| 6 |
12 - 9 |
15 - 18 |
27 - 27 |
| 7 |
14 - 17 |
17 - 19 |
31 - 36 |
| 8 |
14 - 22 |
17 - 14 |
31 - 36 |
| 9 |
21 - 15 |
12 - 17 |
33 - 32 |
| 10 |
19 - 7 |
21 - 16 |
40 - 23 |
| 11 |
17 - 9 |
8 - 15 |
25 - 24 |
| 12 |
6 - 9 |
9 - 10 |
15 - 19 |
| 13 |
5 - 5 |
3 - 7 |
8 - 12 |
| 14 |
2 - 2 |
2 - 6 |
4 - 8 |
| 15 |
0 - 1 |
0 - 2 |
0 - 3 |
Not that this constitutes a great deal of meaningful data, but based on this table, the best trends bet of the week appears to be:
DENVER BRONCOS -3
Teams with ten wins in the prior year are 19-7 at home in the first week of the season while thirteen win away teams like Kansas City are just 3-7 opening the next season on the road.
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