Free Best Bet NFL Picks from TwoMinuteWarning.com

Featuring NFL Picks and Analysis

Bet your picks at Bodog.com!

NFL Best Bet Picks

- Updated every Wednesday by 3pm Pacific Time -
If you are not seeing the current week, your browser is loading a cached page.

Each week the person in charge of a subscriber feature can submit a 'best bet' selection. These have proved to be very potent since the introduction of this concept three years ago, and we will present a best bet freebie on this page each week to showcase the range of our various subscriber handicapping tools.

Week 11: Last 5 Weeks UPM
The "Ultimate Prediction Machine" original game simulator is run twice each week using two different data sets: the first uses season to date stats, the second uses stats from only the last five weeks.

The Ultimate Prediction Machine simulates each NFL matchup five-thousand times using our exclusive TwoMinuteWarning Drive Chart stats. Each simulated score is compared against the line on the game to assess who would have covered and the numbers are compiled to give a confidence value to the chances of each team covering.

NFL Week 11 , 2005

Matchup	Line (home)	Pick	Cover %
Arizona at St. Louis	-9.5	Arizona	65 %
Carolina at Chicago	+3	Carolina	53 %
Detroit at Dallas	-8.5	Detroit	61 %
Indianapolis at Cincinnati	+5.5	Indianapolis	60 %
Jacksonville at Tennessee	+4	Jacksonville	53 %
Miami at Cleveland	-2	Miami	53 %
New Orleans at New England	-10	New Orleans	73 %
Oakland at Washington	-6	Oakland	60 %
Philadelphia at N.Y. Giants	-7	N.Y. Giants	66 %
Tampa Bay at Atlanta	-6	Tampa Bay	59 %
Seattle at San Francisco	+12	Seattle	54 %
Buffalo at San Diego	-10	Buffalo	64 %
N.Y. Jets at Denver	-13	Denver	55 %
Pittsburgh at Baltimore	+4	Pittsburgh	58 %
Kansas City at Houston	+6.5	Kansas City	53 %
Minnesota at Green Bay	-4	Green Bay	55 %

Season Record
65%+ Plays: 11-8

Analysis:
The Patriots are still carried along in bettors' minds by the three Super Bowl victories. Truth is they were fortunate to get the win in Miami. Saints have been underachievers but are off a bye and if they can't get up for a game with New England then indeed all hope is lost.

Favor: New Orleans +10

What do you think? Make your opinion known on the Message Boards

Best Bet Performance Records
The "Best Bet" column was introduced for the 2002 coverage, allowing feature editors to highlight one play as the best option of the week (editors can elect not to provide a best bet if none seem worthy of the honor).

Feature 2002-2004 3-Yr W%

Inside the 20 29-14 67%

Injury Report 30-15 67%

DC/TO 26-14 65%

Trends 32-18 64%

Drive Charts 28-16 64%

CSM 15-9 63%

Full Story 22-14 61%

Turnovers 25-16 61%

Last 5 UPM 20-17 54%

Play-By-Play 21-21 50%

UPM 23-24 49%

Angles 9-16 36%

-- The Free Best Bet Picks combined for a record of 10-7 (59%) during the 2004 season

2004 Season Archive
Week One: Trends
Week Two: Week That Was
Week Three: Angles
Week Four: Drive Chart Dogs
Week Five: Inside the 20
Week Six: Square Money
Week Seven: DC/TO
Week Eight: Turnover Difference
Week Nine: CSM
Week Ten: Stats Force
Week Eleven: UPM
Week Twelve: O/U Regressor
Week Thirteen: Regressor
Week Fourteen: Injury Report
Week Fifteen: Play-By-Play Ratings
Week Sixteen: Player/Team Connection
Week Seventeen: Last 5 UPM

2005 Season Archive
Week One: CSM
Week Two: Angles
Week Three: Week That Was
Week Four: Stats Force
Week Five: DC/TO
Week Six: Inside the 20
Week Seven: Play by Play
Week Eight: UPM
Week Nine: Trends
Week Ten: Turnovers

We want your feedback! Tell us your thoughts