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Week Eleven
Turnovers
For those unfamiliar with our turnover research, you may want to review the following prior articles for background on this theory:
Nets shown below reflect Away number minus Home number.
| Away |
Line |
Home |
Net
INT |
Net
FUM |
Net
T/O |
INT
Pick |
FUM
Pick |
T/O
Pick |
| Tampa Bay |
+3 |
Atlanta |
0 |
-5 |
-5 |
- |
- |
- |
| Cleveland |
+3 |
Baltimore |
-6 |
11 |
5 |
CLE |
BAL |
- |
| New England |
+16 |
Buffalo |
3 |
2 |
5 |
- |
- |
- |
| Arizona |
-3 |
Cincinnati |
-6 |
-6 |
-12 |
ARI |
ARI |
ARI |
| Washington |
-10.5 |
Dallas |
-2 |
-3 |
-5 |
- |
- |
- |
| Carolina |
-10 |
Green Bay |
-1 |
3 |
2 |
- |
- |
- |
| New Orleans |
-1 |
Houston |
0 |
-1 |
-1 |
- |
- |
- |
| Kansas City |
-14.5 |
Indianapolis |
-4 |
-5 |
-9 |
- |
- |
KC |
| San Diego |
-3 |
Jacksonville |
2 |
6 |
8 |
- |
JAC |
JAC |
| Oakland |
-5.5 |
Minnesota |
-3 |
-13 |
-16 |
- |
OAK |
OAK |
| Pittsburgh |
+9.5 |
NY Jets |
3 |
8 |
11 |
- |
NYJ |
NYJ |
| Miami |
-10 |
Philadelphia |
-8 |
2 |
-6 |
MIA |
- |
MIA |
| N.Y. Giants |
+3 |
Detroit |
-7 |
0 |
-7 |
NYG |
- |
NYG |
| St. Louis |
+2.5 |
San Francisco |
-6 |
3 |
-3 |
STL |
- |
- |
| Chicago |
-5 |
Seattle |
-11 |
-2 |
-13 |
CHI |
- |
CHI |
| Tennessee |
-2 |
Denver |
4 |
0 |
4 |
- |
- |
- |
Analysis: The turnovers have had a down year this season...until last week's 5-1 performance showed signs of optimism for the next couple of weeks. One additional theory is that huge turnover differences are good when it's a home team getting the call, barely qualifying away teams are more want you want from road warriors. Miami is stil winless (which is usually a good thing from a spread standpoint), have the barely qualifying down, and are getting double digits against a Philly team that hasn't exactly been the dominant type of prior years.
Favor: Miami +10
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