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  • NFL Best Bets

    - Updated every Wednesday by 3pm Pacific Time -
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    Weekly Best Bets
    Each week the person in charge of a feature can submit a 'best bet' selection -- these have proved to be very potent!

    Feature
    2004
    2002-03
    02/03 W%
    Trends
    10-5
    21-9
    70%
    DC/TO
    9-6
    14-6
    70%
    Turnover Column
    5-7
    20-9
    69%
    Injury Report
    9-4
    19-10
    66%
    Inside the 20
    7-3
    19-10
    66%
    DC
    8-5
    17-10
    63%
    Full Story
    10-5
    11-7
    61%
    CSM
    7-3
    8-6
    57%
    PBP
    7-4
    13-12
    54%
    UPM
    7-6
    15-16
    48%
    Last Five Upm
    7-2
    11-14
    44%
    Angles
    4-5
    5-11
    31%
    O/U Regressor
    6-3
    New
    n/a
    Stats Force
    4-5
    New
    n/a
    Square Money
    6-7
    New
    n/a
    Regressor
    7-5
    New
    n/a
    Gameplan
    0-1
    New
    n/a
    Week That Was
    0-3
    New
    n/a


    Week 16: Player/Team Connection
    This is a new feature for TwoMinuteWarning.com to coincide with providing weekly player projections to Yahoo! Sports for their fantasy games (click on link for projections in preliminary form, these are scheduled to be updated every Thursday). While we were developing these forecasts it seemed a good idea to investigate how this data might also apply to predicting team performance.

    San Diego at Indianapolis
    Matchup
    Pass
    Yds
    Pass
    TD
    Pass
    Int
    Rush
    Yds
    Rush
    TD
    P/Team
    Score
    San Diego
    255
    2.0
    0.6
    147
    1.5
    33.3
    Indianapolis
    283
    3.0
    1.0
    93
    0.5
    32.8

    Overlay: San Diego +7  (value = 7.5)

    San Diego
    Brees - 255 yds passing, 2 TD's
    Tomlinson - 101 yds rushing, 36 yds receiving, 1 TD
    Gates - 89 yards, 1 TD
    Parker - 54 yards, 1 TD
    Chatham - 40 yds rushing, 0.5 TD's

    Indianapolis
    Manning - 283 yds passing, 3 TD's
    Harrison - 61 yards, 1 TD
    James - 75 yds rushing, 32 yds receiving, 0.5 TD's
    Wayne - 67 yards, 0.5 TD's
    Stokley - 60 yards, 0.5 TD's

    Analysis:

    The Chargers have been the hottest team in pro football, and have not lost against the spread since week two of the season! The individual player projections see them winning outright against Indianapolis on the day foreseen as a record breaker for Peyton.

    Favor: San Diego +7


    Also see:
    Week One: Trends
    Week Two: Week That Was
    Week Three: Angles
    Week Four: Drive Chart Dogs
    Week Five: Inside the 20
    Week Six: Square Money
    Week Seven: DC/TO
    Week Eight: Turnover Difference
    Week Nine: CSM
    Week Ten: Stats Force
    Week Eleven: UPM
    Week Twelve: O/U Regressor
    Week Thirteen: Regressor
    Week Fourteen: Injury Report
    Week Fifteen: Play-By-Play Ratings

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