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Week Sixteen
DC + DC/TO
For a legend of our terminology, and an explanation of how we create the
following data, please see
The case for better numbers.
Drive Chart Stats
| OFFENSE |
Play |
Dyds |
TOP |
TD |
FG |
Punt |
T/O |
Pts |
| NYG |
5.1 |
29 |
2:44 |
19% |
13% |
40% |
17% |
21.3 |
| BUF |
4.5 |
25 |
2:51 |
12% |
15% |
51% |
13% |
16.1 |
| DEFENSE |
Play |
Dyds |
TOP |
TD |
FG |
Punt |
T/O |
Pts |
| NYG |
4.6 |
25 |
2:24 |
18% |
11% |
49% |
12% |
19.5 |
| BUF |
5.2 |
34 |
2:58 |
20% |
17% |
36% |
15% |
23.7 |
Projected Scores (Drive Charts)
| Team |
DC* |
DCTO* |
NY Giants
Buffalo |
23
16 |
28
14 |
Analysis: the basic DC+DC/TO theory is that the best plays are when you start with a drive chart prediction that favors a team and the margin of covering increases on the DC/TO prediction. What this is saying that the team projected to cover from the straight Drive Chart overlay has actually had the worst of it in comparison on the turnovers so far. In this game the Giants are the better team on the straight drive chart stats projection, and much the best when the DCTO takes it turn. The Bills have had a good season based on the expectations going in, but a change in turnover fortunes could make this out of hand in a "New York Minute."
Favor: N.Y. Giants -3
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