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NFL Best Bet Picks

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Each week the person in charge of a subscriber feature can submit a 'best bet' selection. These have proved to be very potent in some cases since the introduction of this concept five years ago, and we will present a best bet freebie on this page each week.


Trends

Week Two

With only one game played, teams are in two groups: 1-0 and 0-1 records. With these two groups you have four permutations for the potential matchups. The following table shows how teams have done against the spread since 1992.

Week Two Matchups
Home Team
Record
Away Team
Record
Home W-L
vs the Spread
Home
Spread %
0-1
0-1
15-35
30%
0-1
1-0
31-31
50%
1-0
0-1
34-25
58%
1-0
1-0
24-22
52%

Analysis: The only thing to note in this table is that in a meeting of teams with 0-1 records the away team (presumably the dog in most cases) has covered at a high rate. Not that this constitutes a great deal of meaningful data, but based on this table, a few teams might be worth closer scrutiny here in 2007. Of the qualifying situational teams, we'll go with the Chiefs.

Favor: Kansas City +12



Wondering what the hype is all about? Check out:
What the press says about TwoMinuteWarning
Comparing NFL Handicapping Services

Best Bet Performance Records
The "Best Bet" column was introduced for the 2002 coverage, allowing feature editors to highlight one play as the best option of the week (editors can elect not to provide a best bet if none seem worthy of the honor).

Feature
2002-2006
5-Yr W%
Inside the 20
45-28
62%
Trends
52-36
59%
DC/TO
44-33
57%
Injury Report
45-34
57%
Full Story
43-33
57%
Turnovers
39-29
57%
Drive Charts
42-36
54%
CSM
23-20
53%
Bet Tracker
16-14
53%
Regressor
23-21
52%
Last 5 UPM
30-32
48%

Subscribers get access to the Best Bet selections of all the features every week. Just one of many subscriber benefits.

To learn more about TMW's high end content, check out reasons to subscribe.

2007 Season Archive
Week One: CSM

Samples from past seasons can be seen via clicking on the links below:

2006 Season Archive
Week One: Angles
Week Two: Trends
Week Three: Tim's Smorgasboard
Week Four: Bet Tracker
Week Five: Inside the 20
Week Six: Turnovers
Week Seven: Falcon PP's
Week Eight: Last 5 UPM
Week Nine: Drive Stats
Week Ten: DC/TO
Week Eleven: CSM
Week Twelve: Play-by-Play
Week Thirteen: UPM
Week Fourteen: Coach Stats
Week Fifteen: Regressor
Week Sixteen: Game Pages
Week Seventeen: TMW PP's

2005 Season Archive
Week One: CSM
Week Two: Angles
Week Three: Week That Was
Week Four: Stats Force
Week Five: DC/TO
Week Six: Inside the 20
Week Seven: Play by Play
Week Eight: UPM
Week Nine: Trends
Week Ten: Turnovers
Week Eleven: Last 5 Weeks UPM
Week Twelve: Drive Charts
Week Thirteen: Bet Tracker
Week Fourteen: Money-Line
Week Fifteen: Injury Report
Week Sixteen: Red Zone Totals
Week Seventeen: Regressor

2004 Season Archive
Week One: Trends
Week Two: Week That Was
Week Three: Angles
Week Four: Drive Chart Dogs
Week Five: Inside the 20
Week Six: Square Money
Week Seven: DC/TO
Week Eight: Turnover Difference
Week Nine: CSM
Week Ten: Stats Force
Week Eleven: UPM
Week Twelve: O/U Regressor
Week Thirteen: Regressor
Week Fourteen: Injury Report
Week Fifteen: Play-By-Play Ratings
Week Sixteen: Player/Team Connection
Week Seventeen: Last 5 UPM

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