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NFL 2004
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NFL Best Bets
- Updated every Wednesday by 3pm Pacific Time -
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Each week the person in charge of a feature is on the hook for giving out a 'best bet' selection -- these have proved to be very potent!
| Category |
2003 |
2002 |
2-Yr W% |
| Trends |
10-7 |
11-2 |
70% |
| DC/TO |
14-6 |
n/a |
70% |
| Turnover Column |
11-5 |
9-4 |
69% |
| Injury Report |
12-6 |
7-4 |
66% |
| Inside the 20 |
11-4 |
8-6 |
66% |
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Week 3: Angles
Angles hasn't been a specialty of TwoMinuteWarning over the years, but our columnist is off to a 17-7 start and 2-0 with the best bets. Can he pull off the hat trick?
Record vs Record
With only two games played, teams without byes or the rare tie are in three groups: 2-0, 1-1, or 0-2. With these three groups you have nine permutations for the potential matchups and here are how the records against the spread have been since 1990:
Week Three Matchups
Home Team
Record |
Away Team
Record |
Home W-L
vs the Spread |
Home
Spread % |
| 0-2 |
0-2 |
12-11 |
52% |
| 0-2 |
1-1 |
5-9 |
35% |
| 0-2 |
2-0 |
2-7 |
22% |
| 1-1 |
0-2 |
10-10 |
50% |
| 1-1 |
1-1 |
17-23 |
42% |
| 1-1 |
2-0 |
8-11 |
42% |
| 2-0 |
0-2 |
4-3 |
57% |
| 2-0 |
1-1 |
14-13 |
51% |
| 2-0 |
2-0 |
12-6 |
67% |
The sample sizes are tiny, but the two things to notice are that 0-2 home teams have struggled against away teams with at least one win on the year so far, and that in a 2-0 vs 2-0 showdown, the home team has been solid.
This week's best bet:
Philadelphia (2-0) at Detroit (2-0)..... Detroit +4
Also see:
Week One Best Bet Freebie: Trends
Week Two Best Bet Freebie: Week That Was
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