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NFL 2004
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NFL Best Bets
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Each week the person in charge of a feature is on the hook for giving out a 'best bet' selection -- these have proved to be very potent!
| Category |
2003 |
2002 |
2-Yr W% |
| Trends |
10-7 |
11-2 |
70% |
| DC/TO |
14-6 |
n/a |
70% |
| Turnover Column |
11-5 |
9-4 |
69% |
| Injury Report |
12-6 |
7-4 |
66% |
| Inside the 20 |
11-4 |
8-6 |
66% |
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Week 5: "Inside the 20"
Our red zone handicapping column uses red zone stats to project team performance. After an inauspicious first year, the 'Inside the 20' columnist has posted two consecutive excellent campaigns. One of the key uses for these stats is to isolate underdogs that are picked to win the game outright...
Jacksonville at San Diego
| OFFENSE |
Play |
Dyds |
TOP |
TD |
FG |
T/O |
Pts |
| JAC |
5.6 |
52 |
4:03 |
44% |
33% |
0% |
17 |
| SDG |
7.8 |
61 |
3:29 |
72% |
27% |
0% |
24 |
| DEFENSE |
Play |
Dyds |
TOP |
TD |
FG |
T/O |
Pts |
| JAC |
6.3 |
59 |
4:26 |
55% |
33% |
11% |
20 |
| SDG |
6.6 |
56 |
4:21 |
52% |
41% |
5% |
20 |
Projected Score (Drive Charts)
| Team |
SCORE |
Jacksonville
San Diego |
15
28 |
Analysis:
The Jaguars have played well in the early going and shifted their image from the 5-11 team of a year ago to a contender, if not for the Super Bowl, at least for the playoffs. The Chargers on the other hand despite a 2-2 record coming into this, have not yet emerged from the bumbling 'Bolts reputation of the past few seasons. Red Zone stats show defensively it's about a wash, but offensively there is no comparison: Chargers have scored touchdowns on 72% of drives entering the red zone, Jaguars only 44%.
The projected score has San Diego winning by 13 which makes you wonder how the point spread was set at Jacksonville laying a field goal. Don't blink because the line is dropping, so get it now.
Favor: San Diego +3
Also see:
Week One Best Bet Freebie: Trends
Week Two Best Bet Freebie: Week That Was
Week Three Best Bet Freebie: Angles
Week Four Best Bet Freebie: Drive Chart Dogs
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