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NFL Best Bet Picks

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Each week the person in charge of a subscriber feature can submit a 'best bet' selection. These have proved to be very potent since the introduction of this concept three years ago, and we will present a best bet freebie on this page each week to showcase the range of our various handicapping tools.


Week 5: Inside the 20
The "Inside the 20" column looks at the matchup from a red zone stats perspective. See the Red Zone stats for the year to date numbers.


Tennessee at Indianapolis
OFFENSE
Play
Dyds
TOP
TD
FG
T/O
Pts
TEN
6.5
48
3:02
57%
28%
0%
16
IND
6.1
58
4:02
64%
29%
5%
18
DEFENSE
Play
Dyds
TOP
TD
FG
T/O
Pts
TEN
7.2
56
3:44
61%
19%
0%
16
IND
6.1
67
5:48
80%
0%
10%
19

Projected Score (Drive Charts)
Team
SCORE
Tennessee
Indianapolis
24
23

Comments: Underdog picked to win


Analysis: red zone stats some say are just a small piece of the puzzle. Yet I have found that red zone stats can have high value in making NFL football spread picks. When you have a large underdog picked to win the dog is a good bet to at least cover. Colts' red zone defense has been bad ranked #28. If Tennessee can get to the red zone they will keep it close.

The best bet freebie this week is Tennessee +19


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Best Bet Performance Records
The "Best Bet" column was introduced for the 2002 coverage, allowing feature editors to highlight one play as the best option of the week (editors can elect not to provide a best bet if none seem worthy of the honor).

Feature
2002-2005
4-Yr W%
Trends
43-26
62%
DC/TO
35-24
59%
Injury Report
37-26
59%
Drive Charts
36-25
59%
Inside the 20
34-24
59%
Turnovers
33-24
58%
Regressor
17-13
57%
Full Story
30-25
55%
CSM
18-16
53%
Last 5 UPM
25-24
51%
Play-By-Play
27-33
45%
UPM
27-37
42%

2006 Season Archive
Week One: Angles
Week Two: Trends
Week Three: Tim's Smorgasboard
Week Four: Bet Tracker

2005 Season Archive
Week One: CSM
Week Two: Angles
Week Three: Week That Was
Week Four: Stats Force
Week Five: DC/TO
Week Six: Inside the 20
Week Seven: Play by Play
Week Eight: UPM
Week Nine: Trends
Week Ten: Turnovers
Week Eleven: Last 5 Weeks UPM
Week Twelve: Drive Charts
Week Thirteen: Bet Tracker
Week Fourteen: Money-Line
Week Fifteen: Injury Report
Week Sixteen: Red Zone Totals
Week Seventeen: Regressor

2004 Season Archive
Week One: Trends
Week Two: Week That Was
Week Three: Angles
Week Four: Drive Chart Dogs
Week Five: Inside the 20
Week Six: Square Money
Week Seven: DC/TO
Week Eight: Turnover Difference
Week Nine: CSM
Week Ten: Stats Force
Week Eleven: UPM
Week Twelve: O/U Regressor
Week Thirteen: Regressor
Week Fourteen: Injury Report
Week Fifteen: Play-By-Play Ratings
Week Sixteen: Player/Team Connection
Week Seventeen: Last 5 UPM

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