Free Best Bet NFL Picks from TwoMinuteWarning.com

NFL Best Bet Picks

- Updated every Wednesday by 3pm Pacific Time -
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Each week the person in charge of a subscriber feature can submit a 'best bet' selection. These have proved to be very potent in some cases since the introduction of this concept five years ago, and we will present a best bet freebie on this page each week.

Week Five

Drive Chart Stats

OFFENSE	Play	Dyds	TOP	TD	FG	Punt	T/O	Pts
TB	5.6	30	2:42	22%	15%	47%	10%	24.2
IND	6.2	41	3:05	36%	23%	31%	5%	39.4
DEFENSE	Play	Dyds	TOP	TD	FG	Punt	T/O	Pts
TB	4.2	26	2:49	11%	6%	48%	18%	12.2
IND	4.7	32	3:15	16%	16%	36%	25%	20.0

Projected Scores (Drive Charts)

Team	DC*	DCTO*
Tampa Bay Indianapolis	19 26	11 6

Analysis: one theory with the DC/TO is that it is best when the DC/TO prediction sides with the same team but at a higher points margin from the actual line (eg the overlay). The theory is that with the straight drive stats projection it tells you which team is statistically the better bet against the spread, but when the team has accomplished that AND had the worst of it on the turnovers to that point it's a double plus.

Favor: Tampa Bay +10

Wondering what the hype is all about? Check out:
What the press says about TwoMinuteWarning
Comparing NFL Handicapping Services

Best Bet Performance Records
The "Best Bet" column was introduced for the 2002 coverage, allowing feature editors to highlight one play as the best option of the week (editors can elect not to provide a best bet if none seem worthy of the honor).

Feature 2002-2006 5-Yr W%

Inside the 20 45-28 62%

Trends 52-36 59%

DC/TO 44-33 57%

Injury Report 45-34 57%

Full Story 43-33 57%

Turnovers 39-29 57%

Drive Charts 42-36 54%

CSM 23-20 53%

Bet Tracker 16-14 53%

Regressor 23-21 52%

Last 5 UPM 30-32 48%

Subscribers get access to the Best Bet selections of all the features every week. Just one of many subscriber benefits.

To learn more about TMW's high end content, check out reasons to subscribe.

2007 Season Archive
Week One: CSM
Week Two: Trends
Week Three: Bet Tracker
Week Four: UPM

Samples from past seasons can be seen via clicking on the links below:

2006 Season Archive
Week One: Angles
Week Two: Trends
Week Three: Tim's Smorgasboard
Week Four: Bet Tracker
Week Five: Inside the 20
Week Six: Turnovers
Week Seven: Falcon PP's
Week Eight: Last 5 UPM
Week Nine: Drive Stats
Week Ten: DC/TO
Week Eleven: CSM
Week Twelve: Play-by-Play
Week Thirteen: UPM
Week Fourteen: Coach Stats
Week Fifteen: Regressor
Week Sixteen: Game Pages
Week Seventeen: TMW PP's

2005 Season Archive
Week One: CSM
Week Two: Angles
Week Three: Week That Was
Week Four: Stats Force
Week Five: DC/TO
Week Six: Inside the 20
Week Seven: Play by Play
Week Eight: UPM
Week Nine: Trends
Week Ten: Turnovers
Week Eleven: Last 5 Weeks UPM
Week Twelve: Drive Charts
Week Thirteen: Bet Tracker
Week Fourteen: Money-Line
Week Fifteen: Injury Report
Week Sixteen: Red Zone Totals
Week Seventeen: Regressor

2004 Season Archive
Week One: Trends
Week Two: Week That Was
Week Three: Angles
Week Four: Drive Chart Dogs
Week Five: Inside the 20
Week Six: Square Money
Week Seven: DC/TO
Week Eight: Turnover Difference
Week Nine: CSM
Week Ten: Stats Force
Week Eleven: UPM
Week Twelve: O/U Regressor
Week Thirteen: Regressor
Week Fourteen: Injury Report
Week Fifteen: Play-By-Play Ratings
Week Sixteen: Player/Team Connection
Week Seventeen: Last 5 UPM