Week 8: Last 5 Weeks UPM
The original UPM uses the full season to date stats to run through the game simulator. The evidence of the last few years suggests though that limiting the stats to the last five weeks can yield better results.
LAST FIVE WEEKS
The Ultimate Prediction Machine!
The Ultimate Prediction Machine simulates each NFL matchup five-thousand times
using our exclusive TwoMinuteWarning Drive Chart stats. Each simulated
score is compared against the line on the game to assess who would have
covered and the numbers are compiled to give a confidence value to
the chances of each team covering.
NFL Week 8 , 2006
| Matchup |
Line
(home) |
Pick |
Cover % |
| Dallas at Carolina |
-5 |
Dallas |
65 % |
The simulation of this matchup five thousand times shows Dallas covering the spread listed in 65% of simulations. This reaches one of the key thresholds.
The best bet freebie this week is Dallas +5
Simulation results for all games this week can be seen on the L5 U.P.M. page.
STAFF PICKS = Spread Picks, Best Bets, Summary Sheet & More!
Not only does the staff picks include the selections of six analysts, but it also includes the full best bets for all the tools (currently over 61% on the season) and a nifty summary sheet for help with your own handicapping. To learn more about, check out the Staff Picks page.
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