Free Best Bet NFL Picks from TwoMinuteWarning.com

NFL Best Bet Picks

- Updated every Wednesday by 3pm Pacific Time -
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Each week the person in charge of a subscriber feature can submit a 'best bet' selection. These have proved to be very potent in some cases since the introduction of this concept five years ago, and we will present a best bet freebie on this page each week.

Week Eight

Play By Play Stats

Houston	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR
HOU - Offense	39%	5%	3.0	59	53%	8%	6.9	111
SD - Defense	+2%	-2%	-.4	-6	+1%	+1%	+.4	+10
HOU - Projection	41%	3%	2.6	53	54%	9%	7.3	121
San Diego	Rush PSR	Rush Big	Rush Yds	Rush EFR	Pass PSR	Pass Big	Pass Yds	Pass EFR
SD - Offense	41%	12%	4.2	82	49%	9%	6.7	104
HOU - Defense	-1%	-2%	+.5	-2	+2%	+1%	+.2	+6
SD - Projection	40%	10%	4.7	80	51%	10%	6.9	110

Projected Score (Play by Play)

Team	SCORE
Houston San Diego	22 23

Analysis: The play by play stats are used to produce a projected score for the upcoming games. A key has been to find an underdog predicted to cover the spread since you would expect favorites to in general have 'better stats' on the season.

Favor: Houston +9.5* (off the board most places currently)

Wondering what the hype is all about? Check out:
What the press says about TwoMinuteWarning
Comparing NFL Handicapping Services

Best Bet Performance Records
The "Best Bet" column was introduced for the 2002 coverage, allowing feature editors to highlight one play as the best option of the week (editors can elect not to provide a best bet if none seem worthy of the honor).

Feature 2002-2006 5-Yr W%

Inside the 20 45-28 62%

Trends 52-36 59%

DC/TO 44-33 57%

Injury Report 45-34 57%

Full Story 43-33 57%

Turnovers 39-29 57%

Drive Charts 42-36 54%

CSM 23-20 53%

Bet Tracker 16-14 53%

Regressor 23-21 52%

Last 5 UPM 30-32 48%

Subscribers get access to the Best Bet selections of all the features every week. Just one of many subscriber benefits.

To learn more about TMW's high end content, check out reasons to subscribe.

2007 Season Archive
Week One: CSM
Week Two: Trends
Week Three: Bet Tracker
Week Four: UPM
Week Five: DC/TO
Week Six: Contrarian Consensus
Week Seven: Inside the 20

Samples from past seasons can be seen via clicking on the links below:

2006 Season Archive
Week One: Angles
Week Two: Trends
Week Three: Tim's Smorgasboard
Week Four: Bet Tracker
Week Five: Inside the 20
Week Six: Turnovers
Week Seven: Falcon PP's
Week Eight: Last 5 UPM
Week Nine: Drive Stats
Week Ten: DC/TO
Week Eleven: CSM
Week Twelve: Play-by-Play
Week Thirteen: UPM
Week Fourteen: Coach Stats
Week Fifteen: Regressor
Week Sixteen: Game Pages
Week Seventeen: TMW PP's

2005 Season Archive
Week One: CSM
Week Two: Angles
Week Three: Week That Was
Week Four: Stats Force
Week Five: DC/TO
Week Six: Inside the 20
Week Seven: Play by Play
Week Eight: UPM
Week Nine: Trends
Week Ten: Turnovers
Week Eleven: Last 5 Weeks UPM
Week Twelve: Drive Charts
Week Thirteen: Bet Tracker
Week Fourteen: Money-Line
Week Fifteen: Injury Report
Week Sixteen: Red Zone Totals
Week Seventeen: Regressor

2004 Season Archive
Week One: Trends
Week Two: Week That Was
Week Three: Angles
Week Four: Drive Chart Dogs
Week Five: Inside the 20
Week Six: Square Money
Week Seven: DC/TO
Week Eight: Turnover Difference
Week Nine: CSM
Week Ten: Stats Force
Week Eleven: UPM
Week Twelve: O/U Regressor
Week Thirteen: Regressor
Week Fourteen: Injury Report
Week Fifteen: Play-By-Play Ratings
Week Sixteen: Player/Team Connection
Week Seventeen: Last 5 UPM