Week 9: Drive Chart Stats
In some ways the basis for starting TwoMinuteWarning was the decision to track games by drives, and over the years the predictions generated by drive chart stats have been useful tools indeed!
Green Bay at Buffalo
For a legend of our terminology, and an explanation of how we create the
following data, please see
The case for better numbers.
Drive Chart Stats
| OFFENSE |
Play |
Dyds |
TOP |
TD |
FG |
Punt |
T/O |
Pts |
| GB |
5.0 |
30 |
2:38 |
18% |
13% |
43% |
15% |
20.9 |
| BUF |
4.2 |
22 |
2:41 |
11% |
13% |
50% |
17% |
14.6 |
| DEFENSE |
Play |
Dyds |
TOP |
TD |
FG |
Punt |
T/O |
Pts |
| GB |
5.4 |
31 |
2:31 |
22% |
17% |
41% |
13% |
25.1 |
| BUF |
4.7 |
27 |
2:41 |
22% |
12% |
50% |
9% |
23.6 |
Projected Scores (Drive Charts)
| Team |
Score |
Green Bay
Buffalo |
23
18 |
Analysis:
Offensively Green Bay has been the better team this season, scoring touchdowns on 18% of drives to Buffalo's 11%, while averaging a far higher per play and per drive yardage. The defensive numbers are surprisingly close, and consequently the projected score has the Packers pulling the road upset.
The best bet freebie this week is Green Bay +3
Full drive stats by matchup for every game can be seen on the Game Pages.
STAFF PICKS = Spread Picks, Best Bets, Summary Sheet & More!
Not only does the staff picks include the selections of six analysts, but it also includes the full best bets for all the tools, and a nifty summary sheet for help with your own handicapping. To learn more, check out the Staff Picks page.
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Best Bet Performance Records
The "Best Bet" column was introduced for the 2002 coverage, allowing feature editors to highlight one play as the best option of the week (editors can elect not to provide a best bet if none seem worthy of the honor).
| Feature |
2002-2005 |
4-Yr W% |
| Trends |
43-26 |
62% |
| DC/TO |
35-24 |
59% |
| Injury Report |
37-26 |
59% |
| Drive Charts |
36-25 |
59% |
| Inside the 20 |
34-24 |
59% |
| Turnovers |
33-24 |
58% |
| Regressor |
17-13 |
57% |
| Full Story |
30-25 |
55% |
| CSM |
18-16 |
53% |
| Last 5 UPM |
25-24 |
51% |
| Play-By-Play |
27-33 |
45% |
| UPM |
27-37 |
42% |
2006 Season Archive
Week One: Angles
Week Two: Trends
Week Three: Tim's Smorgasboard
Week Four: Bet Tracker
Week Five: Inside the 20
Week Six: Turnovers
Week Seven: Falcon PP's
Week Eight: Last 5 UPM
2005 Season Archive
Week One: CSM
Week Two: Angles
Week Three: Week That Was
Week Four: Stats Force
Week Five: DC/TO
Week Six: Inside the 20
Week Seven: Play by Play
Week Eight: UPM
Week Nine: Trends
Week Ten: Turnovers
Week Eleven: Last 5 Weeks UPM
Week Twelve: Drive Charts
Week Thirteen: Bet Tracker
Week Fourteen: Money-Line
Week Fifteen: Injury Report
Week Sixteen: Red Zone Totals
Week Seventeen: Regressor
2004 Season Archive
Week One: Trends
Week Two: Week That Was
Week Three: Angles
Week Four: Drive Chart Dogs
Week Five: Inside the 20
Week Six: Square Money
Week Seven: DC/TO
Week Eight: Turnover Difference
Week Nine: CSM
Week Ten: Stats Force
Week Eleven: UPM
Week Twelve: O/U Regressor
Week Thirteen: Regressor
Week Fourteen: Injury Report
Week Fifteen: Play-By-Play Ratings
Week Sixteen: Player/Team Connection
Week Seventeen: Last 5 UPM
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