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NFL Best Bet Picks

- Updated every Wednesday by 3pm Pacific Time -
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Each week the person in charge of a subscriber feature can submit a 'best bet' selection. These have proved to be very potent in some cases since the introduction of this concept five years ago, and we will present a best bet freebie on this page each week.


Week Nine


Falcon PP's

Jacksonville at New Orleans (-3.5 )

Week
Away
Current
Pwr
Home
Current
Pwr
Away
2Win
Home
2Win
9  
JAC
102.3
NO
94.9 95  103 

The '2Win' ratings show the figure a team needs to achieve
in order to cover against the posted spread for the game.

Jacksonville
Week
Opp
Line
For
Agn
TeamPwr
Opp.Pwr
Opp.Fig
TeamFig
8   @TB +4.5  24   23   103.5  103.5  99   107  
7   IND +3  7   29   109.7  121.3  134   96  
6   HOU -6.5  37   17   106.6  99.5  89   116  
5   @KC -2.5  17   7   103.4  99.5  90   112  
3   @DEN +3  23   14   103.4  97.6  91   109  
2   ATL -10.5  13   7   103.4  96.1  100   99  
1   TEN -6.5  10   13   103.4  106.6  109   100  
-2.2  19   16   104.8  103.4  102   106  
Away Ave. Fig = 109
Home Ave. Fig = 103


New Orleans
Week
Opp
Line
For
Agn
TeamPwr
Opp.Pwr
Opp.Fig
TeamFig
8   @SF -3  31   10   89.8  92.3  65   116  
7   ATL -9  22   16   86.5  92.1  83   95  
6   @SEA +7  28   17   80.5  102.7  66   116  
5   CAR -3  13   16   76.1  100.5  82   94  
3   TEN -4.5  14   31   76.1  106.6  96   86  
2   @TB -3  14   31   76.1  112.0  90   98  
1   @IND +5.5  10   41   76.1  119.4  104   91  
-1.4  19   23   80.2  103.7  84   99  
Away Ave. Fig = 105
Home Ave. Fig = 92

2Win Hits: JAC 9 - NOR 4

How to use the Falcon PP's? see Falcon PP's -- your ticket to success?


Analysis: Jaguars have a commanding 9-4 edge in hitting the '2win' number in the games played this season. New Orleans had a tough schedule up until the last two, but those two wins against NFL pushovers is now making the Saints a more than a field goal favorite. Jags have faced similar teams with better results (eg @TB won 24-23 vs NO losing 14-31, lost by 22 to Ind vs NO losing by 31, lost by 3 to TEN vs NO losing by 17). Home/Away numbers also show the Jags as the better bet.

Favor: Jacksonville +3.5



Wondering what the hype is all about? Check out:
What the press says about TwoMinuteWarning
Comparing NFL Handicapping Services

Best Bet Performance Records
The "Best Bet" column was introduced for the 2002 coverage, allowing feature editors to highlight one play as the best option of the week (editors can elect not to provide a best bet if none seem worthy of the honor).

Feature
2002-2006
5-Yr W%
Inside the 20
45-28
62%
Trends
52-36
59%
DC/TO
44-33
57%
Injury Report
45-34
57%
Full Story
43-33
57%
Turnovers
39-29
57%
Drive Charts
42-36
54%
CSM
23-20
53%
Bet Tracker
16-14
53%
Regressor
23-21
52%
Last 5 UPM
30-32
48%

Subscribers get access to the Best Bet selections of all the features every week. Just one of many subscriber benefits.

To learn more about TMW's high end content, check out reasons to subscribe.

2007 Season Archive
Week One: CSM
Week Two: Trends
Week Three: Bet Tracker
Week Four: UPM
Week Five: DC/TO
Week Six: Contrarian Consensus
Week Seven: Inside the 20
Week Eight: Play By Play

Samples from past seasons can be seen via clicking on the links below:

2006 Season Archive
Week One: Angles
Week Two: Trends
Week Three: Tim's Smorgasboard
Week Four: Bet Tracker
Week Five: Inside the 20
Week Six: Turnovers
Week Seven: Falcon PP's
Week Eight: Last 5 UPM
Week Nine: Drive Stats
Week Ten: DC/TO
Week Eleven: CSM
Week Twelve: Play-by-Play
Week Thirteen: UPM
Week Fourteen: Coach Stats
Week Fifteen: Regressor
Week Sixteen: Game Pages
Week Seventeen: TMW PP's

2005 Season Archive
Week One: CSM
Week Two: Angles
Week Three: Week That Was
Week Four: Stats Force
Week Five: DC/TO
Week Six: Inside the 20
Week Seven: Play by Play
Week Eight: UPM
Week Nine: Trends
Week Ten: Turnovers
Week Eleven: Last 5 Weeks UPM
Week Twelve: Drive Charts
Week Thirteen: Bet Tracker
Week Fourteen: Money-Line
Week Fifteen: Injury Report
Week Sixteen: Red Zone Totals
Week Seventeen: Regressor

2004 Season Archive
Week One: Trends
Week Two: Week That Was
Week Three: Angles
Week Four: Drive Chart Dogs
Week Five: Inside the 20
Week Six: Square Money
Week Seven: DC/TO
Week Eight: Turnover Difference
Week Nine: CSM
Week Ten: Stats Force
Week Eleven: UPM
Week Twelve: O/U Regressor
Week Thirteen: Regressor
Week Fourteen: Injury Report
Week Fifteen: Play-By-Play Ratings
Week Sixteen: Player/Team Connection
Week Seventeen: Last 5 UPM

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