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Football Handicapping
The simple facts are these: football handicapping can be an entertaining, health-promoting, and rewarding activity! Indeed at TwoMinuteWarning we encourage people to do their own Football Handicapping rather than rely on some tout to tell them who to bet on.
As a bettor your job is to find key sports betting opportunities -- the games each week where the line is beatable.
This is done with a full array of football handicapping tools.
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A new breed of football handicappers
-- #1: the well informed
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"If you don’t know where to go to get the real skinny on the trends and numbers, you won’t be able to take full advantage when you wager on the game. You can get all this however if you visit TwoMinuteWarning. This truly is a remarkable site!"
-- Casino Player Magazine (December 2000)
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The majority of people who bet on sports lose money. They think because they watch football games, read newspapers, and can name the starting skill position stars for each team that they can pick winners. Many believe that football handicapping is nothing more than "knowing the game" at this fan level. Nothing could be further from the truth. Indeed some of the more knowledgeable football people, including ex-players and coaches, are very poor at trying to predict the outcomes of upcoming games.
True football handicapping involves doing research into what wins, what actually matters in forecasting how matchups are likely to play out. Informed football handicappers know the gambling realities of their sport, and when asked a question relating to point spread likelihoods (eg "do you think that the injuries to Chicago's secondary will hurt them this week?") will point to actual research:
-- #2: the innovators
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"TwoMinuteWarning features the most innovative -- and, from a gambling perspective, powerful -- NFL stats you're likely to find from any source."
-- Las Vegas Sun (Sept. 5th, 2001)
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Informed bettors with football handicapping skills often set out to handicap the NFL using tools such as angles, spread records, injury reports, motivation and other situational analysis. Many turn to traditional avenues of prediction and base their wagers on looking at points, yards, first downs and other conventional NFL stats.
However, another approach is to try and create better numbers -- new statistics and ratings that better reflect the true level of teams’ performances and which would prove to be more accurate and more predictive in terms of projecting scores going forward. In short they might use methods like these as the backbone of their NFL football handicapping:
-- #3: the interpreters
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"To uncover the secrets of NFL success, TwoMinuteWarning has correlated teams' statistics in key categories with their overall records..."
-- New York Times (Nov. 28th, 2004)
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Even innovators find though that once they develop football handicapping approaches that succeed, they quickly breed imitators. While it's great to have a goal of beating the point spread by looking at information others don’t have, sometimes it comes down to more skillfully interpreting common data. Meticulous research and a full understanding of the importance of a factor in determining an outcome play a role, but so does taking handicapping to the next level:
-- #4: the bottom-liners
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"Here is a secret, maybe the most valuable secret in this whole book: The people behind TwoMinuteWarning.com produce excellent NFL lines... TwoMinuteWarning.com does a great job of predicting by how much one team should beat another"
-- Sharp Sports Betting (August, 2001)
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It's sometimes said that college professors live in an "ivory tower" -- in other words they are removed from reality. The same can be said of some football handicapping bettors, who have their heads so buried in their research projects that they lose touch of the original objective, namely to win money.
Bottom line football handicapping masters will utilize anything that will help them improve their overall wagering results. They are intimately aware of the available and best lines, and how the betting markets as a whole are moving on a given event. Often they have a knack for processing information from a wide array of sources to produce high percentage comprehensive handicapping plays:
-- what does your football handicapping future hold?
"A winning percentage that many professional bettors would envy."
-- Las Vegas Sun
(read the full article)
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We know firsthand that football betting is a winnable game. The odds are not set by mathematical formulas with a built-in inherent edge for the house, but rather the lines are 'educated' opinions designed in part to split the betting action. No one on this planet can set perfect lines, particularly for NFL football.
We encourage you to learn how to handicap. People who make their own sports betting picks, whether for NFL football or another sport, will derive more enjoyment and satisfaction out of the activity, and frequently be more successful than if they simply follow a random tout's overly hyped picks.
Join the new breed of football handicapping masters!
To find out more about TwoMinuteWarning.com and what we offer, please see:
- What the press says about TwoMinuteWarning
- Comparing NFL Handicapping Services
- NFL Picks that are 'Ready to Win' in 2005: our suite of tools to attack the lines this season
Valuable football handicapping resources:
NFL.com
ESPN
SportsLine
FoxSports NFL
Football Outsiders
SportsInsights
Bodog.com
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