NFL 2003
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    NFL 2003 Week Sixteen Games
    "Summary" Feature
    For a quick overview of how the various tools and columns see the upcoming games, check out the Summary Sheet.

    Weather conditions important
    At this stage of the season, weather can play a prominent role in a game's outcome. Keep an eye out on weather reports as you consider the matchups.

    Contrarian Factors less effective. The Turnover difference, CSM, and Contrarian Consensus features have had limited value after week twelve.

    Week Fifteen Wrap-Up
    The week saw favorites on top 9-7, moving their lead to 113-103 on the season. Home dogs were 3-2, and are on an 21-7 run to get it all squared up at 31-31 on the year. Home sides won out 10-6, and they have a 114-102 edge all told. The totals saw the unders nab an 8-7 win, and the unders have a slim 112-107 lead on the season.

    The following table lists indicators from high to low based on their current records (in most cases week five on):

    Feature
    Week 15
    Record
    Cover %
    DC/TO 8+ Overlays
    3-1
    38-20
    66%
    Over/Under TSM 60%+
    2-1
    9-5
    64%
    Contrarian Consensus
    *
    25-14
    64%
    Trends Column
    1-1
    30-20
    60%
    Injury Report picks
    4-1
    21-14
    60%
    Inside the 20 picks
    3-1
    30-21
    59%
    CSM Plays
    *
    27-20
    57%
    Turnover Difference
    *
    42-32
    57%
    Wk5 on Full Story, 56%+ games
    3-4
    41-32
    56%
    Best Bets
    8-2
    93-73
    56%
    UPM, 65%+ games
    0-0
    5-4
    56%
    L5 UPM, 65%+ games
    2-4
    21-17
    55%
    MoveBall Column, Home Teams
    2-2
    23-19
    55%
    Full Story, 60%+ games
    2-0
    14-12
    54%
    Fumble T/O Difference
    *
    27-25
    52%
    DC/TO
    8-8
    77-78
    50%
    Over/Under T.S.M.
    9-6
    45-46
    49%
    Last 5 DC 4+ dogs
    2-5
    20-22
    48%
    Frank The Tank
    1-3
    10-12
    45%
    Drive Chart Dogs
    1-3
    17-21
    45%
    Money-Line, best plays
    -8.1 units
    -8.3 units
    n/a
    Teaser tickets
    +1.3 units
    -7.6 units
    n/a
    Parlays column
    -6.4 units
    -18.4 units
    n/a

    * The contrarian factors have historically
    only been effective in weeks 5 thru 12

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