'Full Story' Game Simulations
The 'full story' engine results appear below with the likely cover team and confidence value derived from 10,000 simulated games.
We also show the results of simulations against two alternative lines (a 1/2 point either way from the consensus line) under the 'Line2' and 'Line3' columns.
| Matchup |
Line |
Pick |
Cover % |
Line2 |
Line3 |
| Pittsburgh at Baltimore |
-4 |
Pittsburgh |
56% |
-3.5
Pit 54% |
-4.5
Pit 57% |
| Washington at NY Giants |
+3 |
Washington |
55% |
+3.5
Nyg 51% |
+2.5
Was 60% |
| NY Jets at San Diego |
+3 |
NY Jets |
55% |
+3.5
SD 51% |
+2.5
Nyj 60% |
| San Francisco at New Orleans |
-7.5 |
San Francisco |
54% |
-7
SF 51% |
-8
Sf 56% |
| Denver at Jacksonville |
+3 |
Jacksonville |
54% |
+3.5
Jac 58% |
+2.5
Den 51% |
| St. Louis at Atlanta |
-2.5 |
St. Louis |
54% |
-2
Stl 53% |
-3
Stl 60% |
| Houston at Detroit |
-3 |
Houston |
53% |
-2.5
Det 53% |
-3.5
Hou 59% |
| Miami at Cincinnati |
-5 |
Miami |
53% |
-4.5
Mia 52% |
-5.5
Mia 54% |
| Chicago at Green Bay |
-9 |
Green Bay |
51% |
-8.5
GB 52% |
-9.5
GB 50% |
| Cleveland at Dallas |
-4 |
Dallas |
51% |
-3.5
Dal 53% |
-4.5
Cle 50% |
| Buffalo at Oakland |
-3.5 |
Buffalo |
51% |
-3
Oak 54% |
-4
Buf 52% |
| Indianapolis at Tennessee |
-1 |
Tennessee |
50% |
-0.5
Ten 50% |
-1.5
Ind 50% |
| Carolina at Kansas City |
-6 |
Carolina |
50% |
-5.5
KC 51% |
-6.5
Car 51% |
| Seattle at Tampa Bay |
+2.5 |
Seattle |
50% |
+3
TB 56% |
+2
Sea 51% |
| New England at Arizona |
+8 |
Arizona |
50% |
+8.5
Ari 51% |
+7.5
Ne 50% |
| Minnesota at Philadelphia |
-3 |
Minnesota |
50% |
-2.5
Phi 55% |
-3.5
Min 55% |
For more background on this TwoMinuteWarning tool,
please see the Full Story Engine article.
Week One performance:
| Category |
50 - 54% |
55 - 59% |
60 - 64% |
65 - 69% |
70% + up |
ALL |
| HomeFavs |
3 - 2 |
1 - 0 |
0 - 0 |
0 - 0 |
0 - 0 |
4 - 2 |
| HomeDogs |
0 - 2 |
1 - 0 |
0 - 0 |
0 - 0 |
0 - 0 |
1 - 2 |
| AwayFavs |
0 - 1 |
0 - 0 |
0 - 0 |
0 - 0 |
0 - 0 |
0 - 1 |
| AwayDogs |
2 - 0 |
2 - 1 |
0 - 0 |
0 - 0 |
0 - 0 |
4 - 1 |
|
| Favorites |
3 - 3 |
1 - 0 |
0 - 0 |
0 - 0 |
0 - 0 |
4 - 3 |
| Underdogs |
2 - 2 |
3 - 1 |
0 - 0 |
0 - 0 |
0 - 0 |
5 - 3 |
| Home Teams |
3 - 4 |
2 - 0 |
0 - 0 |
0 - 0 |
0 - 0 |
5 - 4 |
| Away Teams |
2 - 1 |
2 - 1 |
0 - 0 |
0 - 0 |
0 - 0 |
4 - 2 |
|
| ALL PICKS |
5 - 5 |
4 - 1 |
0 - 0 |
0 - 0 |
0 - 0 |
9 - 6 |
| WIN % |
50 % |
80 % |
0 % |
0 % |
0 % |
60 % |
| Spread Range |
10+ points |
5 to 9.5 |
0 to 4.5 |
| Favorites |
0 - 0 |
0 - 0 |
4 - 3 |
| Underdogs |
1 - 0 |
1 - 1 |
3 - 2 |
| 
