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VERY IMPORTANT: Please note that all the data and projections below
are based on just one game from the 2004 season so far.
As such these statistics should be viewed with caution and are unlikely to be representative
of how a team will perform this year.
The results for the overlays in week 2 games over the past five years have been
40-45 for the Drive Charts, and 40-46 for the Play-by-Play.
We will not count the records of the overlays until week 4, when most teams
have played three games, and for now we recommend relying on other features that are specifically geared
towards strategies for attacking the early season games.
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Drive Chart Overlay Summary
Using our exclusive Drive Chart Stats we create a predicted score
for every game each week. By comparing our projection to the
actual line you can find games where there is a significant
difference (the Overlay). The strongest historical plays have been
underdogs with a 4+ overlay.
| Match-up |
Predicted Score |
TMW
Line |
Line
(home) |
Pick |
Overlay |
| Cleveland at Dallas |
CLE 38-11 |
+27 |
-4 |
Cleveland |
31 |
| Pittsburgh at Baltimore |
PIT 26-9 |
+17 |
-4.5 |
Pittsburgh |
21.5 |
| Washington at NY Giants |
WAS 30-6 |
+24 |
+3 |
Washington |
21 |
| Seattle at Tampa Bay |
SEA 22-0 |
+22 |
+2.5 |
Seattle |
19.5 |
| San Francisco at New Orleans |
SF 22-12 |
+10 |
-7 |
San Francisco |
17 |
| Minnesota at Philadelphia |
MIN 38-27 |
+11 |
-3.5 |
Minnesota |
14.5 |
| Houston at Detroit |
DET 28-13 |
-15 |
-3 |
Detroit |
12 |
| Indianapolis at Tennessee |
TEN 27-14 |
-13 |
-1.5 |
Tennessee |
11.5 |
| Chicago at Green Bay |
GB 26-9 |
-17 |
-9 |
Green Bay |
8 |
| NY Jets at San Diego |
SD 35-30 |
-5 |
+3 |
San Diego |
8 |
| Miami at Cincinnati |
MIA 24-21 |
+3 |
-4.5 |
Miami |
7.5 |
| St. Louis at Atlanta |
STL 19-16 |
+3 |
-2.5 |
St. Louis |
5.5 |
| Denver at Jacksonville |
DEN 24-17 |
+7 |
+3 |
Denver |
4 |
| New England at Arizona |
NE 28-17 |
+11 |
+8 |
New England |
3 |
| Carolina at Kansas City |
KC 28-25 |
-3 |
-5.5 |
Carolina |
2.5 |
| Buffalo at Oakland |
OAK 20-17 |
-3 |
-3.5 |
Buffalo |
.5 |
Play-By-Play Overlay Summary
Using our exclusive Play-By-Play ratings we create a predicted score
for every game each week. By comparing our projection to the
actual line you can find games where there is a significant
difference (the Overlay). The strongest historical plays have been
underdogs with a 4+ point overlay.
| Match-up |
Predicted Score |
TMW
Line |
Line
(home) |
Pick |
Overlay |
| Cleveland at Dallas |
CLE 37-10 |
+27 |
-4 |
Cleveland |
31 |
| Indianapolis at Tennessee |
TEN 35-8 |
-27 |
-1.5 |
Tennessee |
25.5 |
| Seattle at Tampa Bay |
SEA 27-3 |
+24 |
+2.5 |
Seattle |
21.5 |
| Washington at NY Giants |
WAS 31-8 |
+23 |
+3 |
Washington |
20 |
| Buffalo at Oakland |
BUF 24-9 |
+15 |
-3.5 |
Buffalo |
18.5 |
| San Francisco at New Orleans |
SF 25-14 |
+11 |
-7 |
San Francisco |
18 |
| St. Louis at Atlanta |
STL 29-14 |
+15 |
-2.5 |
St. Louis |
17.5 |
| New England at Arizona |
NE 42-17 |
+25 |
+8 |
New England |
17 |
| Carolina at Kansas City |
CAR 24-13 |
+11 |
-5.5 |
Carolina |
16.5 |
| Denver at Jacksonville |
DEN 25-6 |
+19 |
+3 |
Denver |
16 |
| Pittsburgh at Baltimore |
PIT 19-10 |
+9 |
-4.5 |
Pittsburgh |
13.5 |
| Minnesota at Philadelphia |
MIN 37-30 |
+7 |
-3.5 |
Minnesota |
10.5 |
| Miami at Cincinnati |
CIN 28-17 |
-11 |
-4.5 |
Cincinnati |
6.5 |
| NY Jets at San Diego |
NYJ 35-26 |
+9 |
+3 |
NY Jets |
6 |
| Chicago at Green Bay |
GB 17-12 |
-5 |
-9 |
Chicago |
4 |
| Houston at Detroit |
DET 20-17 |
-3 |
-3 |
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0 |
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