Week That Was
Another Tim Production/Fiasco
There have been no less than four -count'em- four major research pieces of which my giant great mind contributed, er, one.
Part I |
Part II |
Part III |
Part IV
...and now even a week two specialty piece: Using Wk1 Stats
From this festive smorgasboard of choice tidbits, it's up to me to craft scientifically superior selections...to go boldly...ah, let's get on with it.
Selections
Choice Game #1: Pittsburgh at Baltimore (-4.5)
By my reckoning there are three signs of note to be noted here: first off, the Steelers won last week by a slender margin of 3 points, while the stats score had them piling it on to the tune of 31-14 over dem Silver-and-Black-and-Deckers. Seriously that's case study #4, and it's 61% coming back as a dog. From the week two isolations, dogs that had a 50%+ PSR in week one are 15-4 next out. Finally, the Ravens had 0 big plays rushing against Cleveland, and those teams are just 5-15 on the return in week deux.
Tim Says: Pittsburgh +4.5
Choice Game #2: St. Louis at Atlanta (-2.5)
Rams come from a good offensive game, despite those meek 17 points posted on me best friend Dennis Green. That's case study #6, and dem dogs coming back are 61 percent'ers. Then you also got the two week two isolations, for a dog that rushed for 50%+ PSR and 5.0+ yards per carry in week one.
Tim Says: St. Louis +2.5
Choice Game #3: Houston at Detroit (-3)
Lions have a bandwagon now? Whoooah, that requires some deep thinking. Problems on the horizon in week two include: Texans were a WRONG TEAM WON loser, and dogs like that are 58% (ooh, pick me, pick me! that's my research!). Not only that, they too rushed for a 50%+ PSR, and the Lions are favorites off a -get this- 2.1 average adjusted (ooh!) yards per carry.
Tim Says: Houston +3
Choice Game #4: Indianapolis at Tennessee (-1.5)
Colts had the big offensive game (120 rush EFR, 109 pass EFR) and but for those red one turnovers and another choke artist effort from Vandy-Jag would surely have knocked those Patriots on their heels to begin the season. As I so cleverly established in my reasoning behind picking da Rams, that's a 61% pattern. Then they face a team which had a strong defensive game and now returns as a favorite, a bad thing according to case study #8, where the faves are 40% traveling that week that was path. Then you got the obligatory 50%+ rush PSR, and a 0 big gain effort passing for the Titans, meaning that...
Tim Says: Indianapolis +1.5
Choice Game #5: Minnesota at Philadelphia (-3.5)
Did I not already clear this whole shindig thing up? I so eloquently wrote that Minnesota is the team to beat, Philadelphia the second team to beat, and Denver the third team to beat. But one beats two and two beats three, which means Minnesota could take either of those clowntimes. If that's simply not enough for you, and oh me and Cassandra have some tales to tell, then yeah, the Vikes the good offensive game (case study #6), the rush 50%+ PSR, and the 5.0 yards per carry, blah blah blah.
Tim Says: Minnesota +3.5
Not quite choice are NY Giants, Denver, Cleveland.
(See my Week That Was page for the abstract numbers come to life. Oh and be sure to fill out that approval form at the bottom and tell that faceless grader just how much you love the W-T-W over the WWF)
your faithful servant,
Tim
P.S. enter the head-to-head qualifying for crying out loud! Get in there and take those self-proclaimed experts down a notch! Win one for the Tim-mer!
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