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NFL 2005

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  • Bankroll Management


    This column holds two divergent views: playing from a single bankroll or playing with multiple bankrolls. The single bankroll play is based on applying the Full Story simulation confidence values. The multiple bankroll uses five different indicators.

    Each Bankroll manager starts with $5,000 to begin the season.


    Full Story Bankroll

    Notes on application: 2% is deducted from confidence values to allow for a margin of error. In each case, we shop for lines that are the most advantageous, yet still available at multiple, reputable locations at the time this feature is posted. All wagers are considered to be placed at the same time, rather than adjusting the bet sizes for say a Monday Night pick after the Sunday outcomes have been resolved. Finally, we use a conservative percentage of bankroll, rather than the percentage if you use the confidence values in full.

    Current bank: $3,662

    Week Eleven Wagers
    Play
    Wager
    Arizona +9.5
    $205
    New Orleans +9
    $170
    N.Y. Jets +13.5
    $135
    Chicago +3
    $100
    Washington -6
    $60

    (using Bodog.com Lines)


    With "Professor M."
    TwoMinuteWarning.com

    As a test of the value of our information for a newcomer to football wagering, we have enlisted the aid of "Professor M" who has little knowledge of betting on the NFL, but has a strong background in economics. The views and betting strategies advocated may not reflect the views of TwoMinuteWarning.com

    Friday, November 4th, 2005
    From the office of Professor "M"

    List of funds and bets for the current week

    Total Portfolio Value: $3323
    (Includes self-banked savings of $104)

    Fund
    twenty
    dc
    trends
    injury
    consensus
    Bank
    $ 472
    $ 498
    $ 702
    $ 829
    $ 718
    Bets
    4
    2
    3
    3
    3
    Per Bet
    $55
    $70
    $65
    $100
    $65
    Bets
      Chi +3
      No +9
      Phi +7.5
      Nyj +13.5

      Ari +9.5
      No +9

      Chi +3
      Was +6
      Nyj +13.5
      Cin +5.5
      Ten +4.5
      Ne -9
      Phi +7.5
      Nyj +13.5
      Bal +3.5

    Self-banked bets: $100 each way on No-Ne, for a total of $100 each way.


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