'Full Story' Game Simulations
The 'full story' engine results appear below with the likely cover team and confidence value derived from 10,000 simulated games.
We also show the results of simulations against two alternative lines (a 1/2 point either way from the consensus line) under the 'Line2' and 'Line3' columns.
Sunday/Monday Games
| Matchup |
Line |
Pick |
Cover % |
Line2 |
Line3 |
| Arizona at St. Louis |
-9.5 |
Arizona |
60% |
-9
Ari 59% |
-10
Ari 62% |
| New Orleans at New England |
-9 |
New Orleans |
59% |
-8.5
No 58% |
-9.5
No 60% |
| N.Y. Jets at Denver |
-13.5 |
N.Y. Jets |
58% |
-13
Nyj 57% |
-14
Nyj 60% |
| Carolina at Chicago |
+3 |
Chicago |
57% |
+3.5
Chi 62% |
+2.5
Chi 51% |
| Oakland at Washington |
-6 |
Washington |
56% |
-5.5
Was 58% |
-6.5
Was 55% |
| Tampa Bay at Atlanta |
-6 |
Tampa Bay |
55% |
-5.5
Tb 54% |
-6.5
Tb 56% |
| Kansas City at Houston |
+7 |
Houston |
54% |
+7.5
Hou 56% |
+6.5
Hou 51% |
| Detroit at Dallas |
-7.5 |
Detroit |
53% |
-7
Det 51% |
-8
Det 54% |
| Indianapolis at Cincinnati |
+5.5 |
Cincinnati |
52% |
+6
Cin 53% |
+5
Cin 51% |
| Seattle at San Francisco |
+12.5 |
Seattle |
52% |
+13
Sea 51% |
+12
Sea 52% |
| Jacksonville at Tennessee |
+4 |
Tennessee |
51% |
+4.5
Ten 52% |
+3.5
Ten 50% |
| Philadelphia at N.Y. Giants |
-7.5 |
N.Y. Giants |
51% |
-7
Nyg 54% |
-8
Nyg 50% |
| Minnesota at Green Bay |
-4.5 |
Green Bay |
51% |
-4
Gb 52% |
-5
Gb 50% |
| Miami at Cleveland |
-2 |
Cleveland |
50% |
-1.5
Cle 51% |
-2.5
Mia 50% |
| Buffalo at San Diego |
-10.5 |
San Diego |
50% |
-10
Sd 52% |
-11
Buf 50% |
| Pittsburgh at Baltimore |
+3.5 |
Baltimore |
50% |
+4
Bal 51% |
+3
Pit 56% |
For more background on this TwoMinuteWarning tool,
please see the Full Story Engine article.
Performance through Week Ten:
| Category |
50 - 54% |
55 - 59% |
60 - 64% |
65 - 69% |
70% + up |
ALL |
| HomeFavs |
11 - 11 |
2 - 4 |
1 - 0 |
0 - 0 |
0 - 0 |
14 - 15 |
| HomeDogs |
4 - 8 |
4 - 8 |
0 - 0 |
0 - 0 |
0 - 0 |
8 - 16 |
| AwayFavs |
4 - 10 |
2 - 2 |
0 - 0 |
0 - 0 |
0 - 0 |
6 - 12 |
| AwayDogs |
14 - 17 |
10 - 21 |
5 - 3 |
0 - 0 |
0 - 0 |
29 - 41 |
|
| Favorites |
15 - 21 |
4 - 6 |
1 - 0 |
0 - 0 |
0 - 0 |
20 - 27 |
| Underdogs |
18 - 25 |
14 - 29 |
5 - 3 |
0 - 0 |
0 - 0 |
37 - 57 |
| Home Teams |
15 - 19 |
6 - 12 |
1 - 0 |
0 - 0 |
0 - 0 |
22 - 31 |
| Away Teams |
18 - 27 |
12 - 23 |
5 - 3 |
0 - 0 |
0 - 0 |
35 - 53 |
|
| ALL PICKS |
33 - 46 |
18 - 35 |
6 - 3 |
0 - 0 |
0 - 0 |
57 - 84 |
| WIN % |
42 % |
34 % |
67 % |
0 % |
0 % |
40 % |
| Spread Range |
10+ points |
5 to 9.5 |
0 to 4.5 |
| Favorites |
2 - 4 |
6 - 7 |
12 - 16 |
| Underdogs |
2 - 4 |
14 - 16 |
21 - 37 |
|
