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NFL 2005

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    NFL 2005
    "Summary" Sheet
    For a quick overview of how the various tools and columns see the upcoming games, check out the Summary Sheet.

    Notes:
    - The PHI-NYG stat features have been reposted to reflect the -7.5 line with McNabb out
    - The guest handicapper this week is Scott Kellen (Andy Iskoe has been rescheduled)
    - The Week ten Bet Tracker final numbers have been updated

    Week Ten Wrap-Up
    Favorites continued to be on top with an 8-6 week and lead 77-64-2 on the year. The Home/Away split was even at 7-7, but home teams remain ahead 77-64-2 on the season. Home dogs were 1-2 and are 20-22 overall. Meanwhile the totals saw the overs win the week 8-5-1 but unders hold a small 71-69-3 lead year to date.

    Feature
    Week 10
    Season
    Win%
     Full Story 60%+
    1-0
    6-3
    67% 
      L5 Upm 65%+
    3-2
    11-8
    58% 
      O/U Regressor
    1-6
    17-20
    46% 
      C.S.M.
    4-3
    24-25
    48% 
     Over-Under Picks
    4-0
    20-18
    53% 
      Injury Report
    1-2
    9-11
    45% 
      Contrarian Consensus
    3-2
    13-14
    48% 
      DCTO 8+
    3-3
    22-26
    46% 
      Regressor
    2-2
    15-19
    44% 
      Trends
    2-3
    16-22
    42% 
      T/O Diff: Fumble Plays
    4-3
    21-27
    44% 
      Drive Chart 4+ Dogs
    2-2
    11-15
    42% 
      T/O Diff: Interception Plays
    4-5
    20-29
    41% 
      UPM 65%+
    2-1
    13-18
    42% 
      PBP 4+ Dogs
    2-1
    12-17
    41% 
      Turnover Difference
    4-7
    22-37
    37% 
      Best Bets Column
    7-9
    46-74
    38% 
      Player/Team
    3-2
    18-27
    40% 
      Full Story 55%+
    3-2
    24-38
    39% 
     Falcon PP's
    0-1
    4-8
    33% 
      Inside the 20
    0-1
    3-8
    27% 
      Stats Force
    1-2
    3-12
    20% 
     Player Prop Bets
    +3.9 units
    +8.1 units
     
      Teasers
    -2.3 units
    -24.7 units
     
      Money-Line
    +5.2 units
    -32.8 units
     
      Bankroll: Full Story
    +$107
    -$1338
    -27% 
      Bankroll: Professor 'M'
    -$218
    -$1679
    -33% 

    Timing Notes
    The first update for a week is always on TUESDAY by 3pm Pacific Time. Several columns/features appear over the next few days, with everything posted by FRIDAY.

    The Message Boards are now up and running. Since some subscribers did not express interest in them, we have not pre-registered anyone so you will need to REGISTER. Let us know if you experience any difficulties viewing/posting to the boards. The boards are an excellent place to ask questions regarding our features and subscriber coverage.

    A word about lines: we use the consensus line at the time data is made available. This is the line for our record-keeping purposes. You should however make every attempt to get the most favorable line when you actually place a wager. Line-shopping can improve your results over the course of a season by several percentage points.

    You can also track the progress of the Season Win Picks.


    Using injury data to pick Winners
    The latest update on our classic injury research of a few years ago. Can we find a way to use the injury information released by the NFL to devise a method for predicting how teams will perform with injured players? Subscriber follow-up: Injury Report Result Charts

    Falcon PP's research
    1) How to use the Falcon PP's -- Average Speed Figures
    2) Hitting the '2win' Numbers (subscriber-only)
    3) Common Opponents (subscriber-only)
    4) Monte Carlo Simulations (subscriber-only)


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