'Full Story' Game Simulations
The 'full story' engine results appear below with the likely cover team and confidence value derived from 10,000 simulated games.
We also show the results of simulations against two alternative lines (a 1/2 point either way from the consensus line) under the 'Line2' and 'Line3' columns.
Wildcard Round Games
| Matchup |
Line |
Pick |
Cover % |
Line2 |
Line3 |
| Seattle vs Pittsburgh |
-4 |
Seattle |
57% |
-3.5 Sea 56% |
-4.5 Sea 58% |
For more background on this TwoMinuteWarning tool, please see the Full Story Engine article.
Performance through Week Twenty:
| Category |
50 - 54% |
55 - 59% |
60 - 64% |
65 - 69% |
70% + up |
ALL |
| HomeFavs |
26 - 20 |
6 - 7 |
2 - 0 |
0 - 0 |
0 - 0 |
34 - 27 |
| HomeDogs |
8 - 18 |
8 - 19 |
0 - 1 |
0 - 0 |
0 - 0 |
16 - 38 |
| AwayFavs |
8 - 15 |
2 - 4 |
0 - 0 |
0 - 0 |
0 - 0 |
10 - 19 |
| AwayDogs |
25 - 27 |
21 - 29 |
6 - 7 |
0 - 0 |
0 - 0 |
52 - 63 |
|
| Favorites |
34 - 35 |
8 - 11 |
2 - 0 |
0 - 0 |
0 - 0 |
44 - 46 |
| Underdogs |
33 - 45 |
29 - 48 |
6 - 8 |
0 - 0 |
0 - 0 |
68 - 101 |
| Home Teams |
34 - 38 |
14 - 26 |
2 - 1 |
0 - 0 |
0 - 0 |
50 - 65 |
| Away Teams |
33 - 42 |
23 - 33 |
6 - 7 |
0 - 0 |
0 - 0 |
62 - 82 |
|
| ALL PICKS |
67 - 80 |
37 - 59 |
8 - 8 |
0 - 0 |
0 - 0 |
112 - 147 |
| WIN % |
46 % |
39 % |
50 % |
0 % |
0 % |
43 % |
| Spread Range |
10+ points |
5 to 9.5 |
0 to 4.5 |
| Favorites |
6 - 8 |
14 - 15 |
24 - 23 |
| Underdogs |
6 - 11 |
26 - 30 |
36 - 60 |
|