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NFL 2005

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  • 'Full Story' Game Simulations

    The 'full story' engine results appear below with the likely cover team and confidence value derived from 10,000 simulated games. We also show the results of simulations against two alternative lines (a 1/2 point either way from the consensus line) under the 'Line2' and 'Line3' columns.

    Wildcard Round Games
    Matchup
    Line
    Pick
    Cover %
    Line2
    Line3
    Seattle vs Pittsburgh
    -4
    Seattle
    57%
    -3.5
    Sea 56%
    -4.5
    Sea 58%

    For more background on this TwoMinuteWarning tool,
    please see the Full Story Engine article.

    Performance through Week Twenty:

    Category
    50 - 54%
    55 - 59%
    60 - 64%
    65 - 69%
    70% + up
    ALL
    HomeFavs
    26 - 20
    6 - 7
    2 - 0
    0 - 0
    0 - 0
    34 - 27
    HomeDogs
    8 - 18
    8 - 19
    0 - 1
    0 - 0
    0 - 0
    16 - 38
    AwayFavs
    8 - 15
    2 - 4
    0 - 0
    0 - 0
    0 - 0
    10 - 19
    AwayDogs
    25 - 27
    21 - 29
    6 - 7
    0 - 0
    0 - 0
    52 - 63
    Favorites
    34 - 35
    8 - 11
    2 - 0
    0 - 0
    0 - 0
    44 - 46
    Underdogs
    33 - 45
    29 - 48
    6 - 8
    0 - 0
    0 - 0
    68 - 101
    Home Teams
    34 - 38
    14 - 26
    2 - 1
    0 - 0
    0 - 0
    50 - 65
    Away Teams
    33 - 42
    23 - 33
    6 - 7
    0 - 0
    0 - 0
    62 - 82
    ALL PICKS
    67 - 80
    37 - 59
    8 - 8
    0 - 0
    0 - 0
    112 - 147
    WIN %
    46 %
    39 %
    50 %
    0 %
    0 %
    43 %

    Spread Range
    10+ points
    5 to 9.5
    0 to 4.5
    Favorites
    6 - 8
    14 - 15
    24 - 23
    Underdogs
    6 - 11
    26 - 30
    36 - 60


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