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Drive Chart Overlay Summary
Using our exclusive Drive Chart Stats we create a predicted score
for every game each week. By comparing our projection to the
actual line you can find games where there is a significant
difference (the Overlay). The strongest historical plays have been
underdogs with a 4+ overlay.
| Match-up |
Predicted Score |
TMW
Line |
Line
(home) |
Pick |
Overlay |
| Seattle at Pittsburgh |
SEA 23-20 |
+3 |
-4 |
Seattle |
7 |
2005 Season Performance (Week 4 on)
| Overlay |
0 - 1.5 |
2 - 3.5 |
4 - 5.5 |
6 - 7.5 |
8+ Pts |
ALL |
| HomeFavs |
7 - 5 |
10 - 6 |
8 - 6 |
5 - 4 |
15 - 11 |
45 - 32 |
| HomeDogs |
1 - 7 |
2 - 8 |
1 - 0 |
1 - 1 |
1 - 2 |
6 - 18 |
| AwayFavs |
1 - 1 |
8 - 3 |
2 - 2 |
6 - 2 |
9 - 7 |
26 - 15 |
| AwayDogs |
5 - 2 |
7 - 6 |
3 - 8 |
5 - 5 |
6 - 12 |
26 - 33 |
|
| Favorites |
8 - 6 |
18 - 9 |
10 - 8 |
11 - 6 |
24 - 18 |
71 - 47 |
| Underdogs |
6 - 9 |
9 - 14 |
4 - 8 |
6 - 6 |
7 - 14 |
32 - 51 |
| Home Teams |
8 - 12 |
12 - 14 |
9 - 6 |
6 - 5 |
16 - 13 |
51 - 50 |
| Away Teams |
6 - 3 |
15 - 9 |
5 - 10 |
11 - 7 |
15 - 19 |
52 - 48 |
|
| ALL PICKS |
14 - 15 |
27 - 23 |
14 - 16 |
17 - 12 |
31 - 32 |
103 - 98 |
| WIN % |
48 % |
54 % |
47 % |
59 % |
49 % |
51 % |
| Spread Range |
10+ points |
5 to 9.5 |
0 to 4.5 |
| Favorites |
13 - 12 |
23 - 17 |
35 - 18 |
| Underdogs |
1 - 1 |
9 - 14 |
22 - 36 |
Play-By-Play Overlay Summary
Using our exclusive Play-By-Play ratings we create a predicted score
for every game each week. By comparing our projection to the
actual line you can find games where there is a significant
difference (the Overlay). The strongest historical plays have been
underdogs with a 4+ point overlay.
| Match-up |
Predicted Score |
TMW
Line |
Line
(home) |
Pick |
Overlay |
| Seattle at Pittsburgh |
SEA 26-19 |
+7 |
-4 |
Seattle |
11 |
2005 Season Performance (Week 4 on)
| Overlay |
0 - 1.5 |
2 - 3.5 |
4 - 5.5 |
6 - 7.5 |
8+ Pts |
ALL |
| HomeFavs |
6 - 4 |
10 - 7 |
8 - 4 |
6 - 6 |
13 - 13 |
43 - 34 |
| HomeDogs |
0 - 3 |
2 - 8 |
1 - 3 |
2 - 0 |
2 - 1 |
7 - 15 |
| AwayFavs |
5 - 3 |
5 - 2 |
2 - 3 |
1 - 1 |
13 - 5 |
26 - 14 |
| AwayDogs |
4 - 4 |
8 - 9 |
6 - 5 |
5 - 3 |
5 - 15 |
28 - 36 |
|
| Favorites |
11 - 7 |
15 - 9 |
10 - 7 |
7 - 7 |
26 - 18 |
69 - 48 |
| Underdogs |
4 - 7 |
10 - 17 |
7 - 8 |
7 - 3 |
7 - 16 |
35 - 51 |
| Home Teams |
6 - 7 |
12 - 15 |
9 - 7 |
8 - 6 |
15 - 14 |
50 - 49 |
| Away Teams |
9 - 7 |
13 - 11 |
8 - 8 |
6 - 4 |
18 - 20 |
54 - 50 |
|
| ALL PICKS |
15 - 14 |
25 - 26 |
17 - 15 |
14 - 10 |
33 - 34 |
104 - 99 |
| WIN % |
52 % |
49 % |
53 % |
58 % |
49 % |
51 % |
| Spread Range |
10+ points |
5 to 9.5 |
0 to 4.5 |
| Favorites |
12 - 10 |
22 - 17 |
35 - 21 |
| Underdogs |
3 - 2 |
10 - 16 |
22 - 33 |
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