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VERY IMPORTANT: Please note that all the data and projections for this week's games
are based on just the games played from the 2008 season so far.
As such these statistics should be viewed with caution and are unlikely to be representative
of how a team will perform this week.
We will not count the records of the overlays until week 4, when most teams
have played three games, and for now we recommend relying on other features that are specifically geared
towards strategies for attacking the early season games.
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Drive Chart Overlay Summary
Using our exclusive Drive Chart Stats we create a predicted score
for every game each week. By comparing our projection to the
actual line you can find games where there is a significant
difference (the Overlay). The strongest historical plays have been
underdogs with a 4+ overlay.
| Match-up |
Predicted Score |
TMW
Line |
Line
(home) |
Pick |
Overlay |
| Atlanta at Tampa Bay |
ATL 39-12 |
+27 |
-8 |
Atlanta |
35 |
| San Diego at Denver |
DEN 47-14 |
-33 |
+2 |
Denver |
35 |
| Baltimore at Houston |
BAL 34-7 |
+27 |
-4.5 |
Baltimore |
31.5 |
| Oakland at Kansas City |
KC 40-11 |
-29 |
-4 |
Kansas City |
25 |
| Buffalo at Jacksonville |
BUF 21-3 |
+18 |
-6 |
Buffalo |
24 |
| Pittsburgh at Cleveland |
PIT 45-18 |
+27 |
+6 |
Pittsburgh |
21 |
| New Orleans at Washington |
NO 26-6 |
+20 |
+0 |
New Orleans |
20 |
| Tennessee at Cincinnati |
TEN 19-3 |
+16 |
-1 |
Tennessee |
17 |
| N.Y. Giants at St. Louis |
NYG 32-6 |
+26 |
+9 |
N.Y. Giants |
17 |
| Chicago at Carolina |
CHI 29-16 |
+13 |
-3 |
Chicago |
16 |
| Philadelphia at Dallas |
PHI 32-23 |
+9 |
-7 |
Philadelphia |
16 |
| Indianapolis at Minnesota |
MIN 28-15 |
-13 |
+2 |
Minnesota |
15 |
| Green Bay at Detroit |
GB 36-21 |
+15 |
+3 |
Green Bay |
12 |
| Miami at Arizona |
ARI 29-10 |
-19 |
-7 |
Arizona |
12 |
| San Francisco at Seattle |
SF 18-15 |
+3 |
-8 |
San Francisco |
11 |
| New England at N.Y. Jets |
NYJ 18-17 |
-1 |
-2 |
New England |
1 |
Play-By-Play Overlay Summary
Using our exclusive Play-By-Play ratings we create a predicted score
for every game each week. By comparing our projection to the
actual line you can find games where there is a significant
difference (the Overlay). The strongest historical plays have been
underdogs with a 4+ point overlay.
| Match-up |
Predicted Score |
TMW
Line |
Line
(home) |
Pick |
Overlay |
| Baltimore at Houston |
BAL 33-6 |
+27 |
-4.5 |
Baltimore |
31.5 |
| San Diego at Denver |
DEN 46-17 |
-29 |
+2 |
Denver |
31 |
| Atlanta at Tampa Bay |
ATL 39-18 |
+21 |
-8 |
Atlanta |
29 |
| Buffalo at Jacksonville |
BUF 21-0 |
+21 |
-6 |
Buffalo |
27 |
| San Francisco at Seattle |
SF 28-9 |
+19 |
-8 |
San Francisco |
27 |
| Tennessee at Cincinnati |
TEN 24-0 |
+24 |
-1 |
Tennessee |
25 |
| Pittsburgh at Cleveland |
PIT 39-12 |
+27 |
+6 |
Pittsburgh |
21 |
| New Orleans at Washington |
NO 29-10 |
+19 |
+0 |
New Orleans |
19 |
| N.Y. Giants at St. Louis |
NYG 33-6 |
+27 |
+9 |
N.Y. Giants |
18 |
| Green Bay at Detroit |
GB 35-18 |
+17 |
+3 |
Green Bay |
14 |
| Philadelphia at Dallas |
PHI 29-22 |
+7 |
-7 |
Philadelphia |
14 |
| New England at N.Y. Jets |
NE 21-14 |
+7 |
-2 |
New England |
9 |
| Indianapolis at Minnesota |
MIN 21-20 |
-1 |
+2 |
Minnesota |
3 |
| Miami at Arizona |
ARI 24-15 |
-9 |
-7 |
Arizona |
2 |
| Oakland at Kansas City |
KC 29-26 |
-3 |
-4 |
Oakland |
1 |
| Chicago at Carolina |
CAR 26-23 |
-3 |
-3 |
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0 |
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