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VERY IMPORTANT: Please note that all the data and projections for this week's games
are based on just the games played from the 2008 season so far.
As such these statistics should be viewed with caution and are unlikely to be representative
of how a team will perform this week.
We will not count the records of the overlays until week 4, when most teams
have played three games, and for now we recommend relying on other features that are specifically geared
towards strategies for attacking the early season games.
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Drive Chart Overlay Summary
Using our exclusive Drive Chart Stats we create a predicted score
for every game each week. By comparing our projection to the
actual line you can find games where there is a significant
difference (the Overlay). The strongest historical plays have been
underdogs with a 4+ overlay.
| Match-up |
Predicted Score |
TMW
Line |
Line
(home) |
Pick |
Overlay |
| Cleveland at Baltimore |
BAL 31-0 |
-31 |
-2.5 |
Baltimore |
28.5 |
| Houston at Tennessee |
TEN 38-6 |
-32 |
-5 |
Tennessee |
27 |
| St. Louis at Seattle |
SEA 38-7 |
-31 |
-9.5 |
Seattle |
21.5 |
| Miami at New England |
NE 38-6 |
-32 |
-12.5 |
New England |
19.5 |
| Cincinnati at N.Y. Giants |
NYG 33-0 |
-33 |
-13.5 |
N.Y. Giants |
19.5 |
| New Orleans at Denver |
DEN 42-19 |
-23 |
-5.5 |
Denver |
17.5 |
| Arizona at Washington |
ARI 30-17 |
+13 |
-3 |
Arizona |
16 |
| Detroit at San Francisco |
SF 34-17 |
-17 |
-4 |
San Francisco |
13 |
| Kansas City at Atlanta |
ATL 29-12 |
-17 |
-5 |
Atlanta |
12 |
| Oakland at Buffalo |
BUF 31-10 |
-21 |
-9.5 |
Buffalo |
11.5 |
| Carolina at Minnesota |
MIN 18-17 |
-1 |
-3.5 |
Carolina |
2.5 |
| Tampa Bay at Chicago |
CHI 17-16 |
-1 |
-3 |
Tampa Bay |
2 |
| Pittsburgh at Philadelphia |
PHI 27-22 |
-5 |
-3 |
Philadelphia |
2 |
| N.Y. Jets at San Diego |
SD 30-23 |
-7 |
-9 |
N.Y. Jets |
2 |
| Jacksonville at Indianapolis |
IND 20-13 |
-7 |
-5.5 |
Indianapolis |
1.5 |
| Dallas at Green Bay |
DAL 30-27 |
+3 |
+3 |
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0 |
Play-By-Play Overlay Summary
Using our exclusive Play-By-Play ratings we create a predicted score
for every game each week. By comparing our projection to the
actual line you can find games where there is a significant
difference (the Overlay). The strongest historical plays have been
underdogs with a 4+ point overlay.
| Match-up |
Predicted Score |
TMW
Line |
Line
(home) |
Pick |
Overlay |
| Cleveland at Baltimore |
BAL 34-3 |
-31 |
-2.5 |
Baltimore |
28.5 |
| Houston at Tennessee |
TEN 33-0 |
-33 |
-5 |
Tennessee |
28 |
| St. Louis at Seattle |
SEA 37-3 |
-34 |
-9.5 |
Seattle |
24.5 |
| Detroit at San Francisco |
SF 37-10 |
-27 |
-4 |
San Francisco |
23 |
| Kansas City at Atlanta |
ATL 30-3 |
-27 |
-5 |
Atlanta |
22 |
| New Orleans at Denver |
DEN 43-16 |
-27 |
-5.5 |
Denver |
21.5 |
| Miami at New England |
NE 36-3 |
-33 |
-12.5 |
New England |
20.5 |
| Cincinnati at N.Y. Giants |
NYG 32-0 |
-32 |
-13.5 |
N.Y. Giants |
18.5 |
| N.Y. Jets at San Diego |
NYJ 26-21 |
+5 |
-9 |
N.Y. Jets |
14 |
| Tampa Bay at Chicago |
TB 18-15 |
+3 |
-3 |
Tampa Bay |
6 |
| Pittsburgh at Philadelphia |
PIT 24-21 |
+3 |
-3 |
Pittsburgh |
6 |
| Arizona at Washington |
ARI 23-22 |
+1 |
-3 |
Arizona |
4 |
| Oakland at Buffalo |
BUF 28-15 |
-13 |
-9.5 |
Buffalo |
3.5 |
| Jacksonville at Indianapolis |
IND 22-13 |
-9 |
-5.5 |
Indianapolis |
3.5 |
| Dallas at Green Bay |
DAL 23-22 |
+1 |
+3 |
Green Bay |
2 |
| Carolina at Minnesota |
MIN 20-17 |
-3 |
-3.5 |
Carolina |
.5 |
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