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Outside Rushing
This prediction tool is based on some original research by Nathan using
the TMW directional rushing stats. The key is Underdogs with a 3.5+ outside yards edge.
For the full research article see: Outside Rushing: a key to success?
NFL Week 4 , 2008
| Matchup |
Line
(home) |
Away
Outside |
Home
Outside |
Pick |
Diff |
| Minnesota at Tennessee |
-3 |
+9.1 |
-8.6 |
Minnesota |
17.7 |
| Denver at Kansas City |
+9.5 |
+6.8 |
-9.5 |
Denver |
16.3 |
| San Francisco at New Orleans |
-6 |
+3.9 |
-12.3 |
San Francisco |
16.2 |
| Green Bay at Tampa Bay |
-1 |
-3.7 |
+12.0 |
Tampa Bay |
15.7 |
| Atlanta at Carolina |
-7 |
+1.9 |
-4.5 |
Atlanta |
6.4 |
| Cleveland at Cincinnati |
-3.5 |
-0.1 |
-6.1 |
Cleveland |
6.0 |
| San Diego at Oakland |
+7 |
-5.1 |
+0.2 |
Oakland |
5.3 |
| Houston at Jacksonville |
-7.5 |
-0.6 |
+3.5 |
Jacksonville |
4.1 |
| Buffalo at St. Louis |
+8 |
-3.6 |
-7.2 |
Buffalo |
3.6 |
| Washington at Dallas |
-11.5 |
-2.5 |
+0.9 |
Dallas |
3.4 |
| Philadelphia at Chicago |
+3 |
+5.3 |
+3.8 |
Philadelphia |
1.5 |
| Arizona at N.Y. Jets |
-3 |
+2.2 |
+3.3 |
N.Y. Jets |
1.1 |
| Baltimore at Pittsburgh |
-7 |
+3.8 |
+2.7 |
Baltimore |
1.1 |
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