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|
Play by Play Angles
This prediction tool is based on some original research by Nathan.
For the full research article see: Play-By-Play Angles
- Play 54%+ Offense Rush PSR (play success rate) teams (65-43)
- Play 4.5+ yds/rush offense underdogs getting more than a field goal (59-28)
- Play defensive Rush PSR 53%+ teams (65-37)
- Play defensive Pass PSR 50%+ teams (152-109)
- Play defensive Pass EFR (effectiveness) 120+ teams (65-39)
- Play home teams projected under 60 Passing EFR (81-38)
NFL Week 4 , 2008
| Matchup |
Line
(home) |
Away
Angles |
Home
Angles |
Pick |
Diff |
| Atlanta at Carolina |
-7 |
2 |
|
Atlanta |
1 - 0 |
| Cleveland at Cincinnati |
-3.5 |
4 |
4 |
|
|
| Houston at Jacksonville |
-7.5 |
2 4 5 |
|
Houston |
3 - 0 |
| Denver at Kansas City |
+9.5 |
1 4 5 |
|
Denver |
3 - 0 |
| San Francisco at New Orleans |
-6 |
2 |
3 |
|
|
| Arizona at N.Y. Jets |
-3 |
|
|
|
|
| Green Bay at Tampa Bay |
-1 |
|
|
|
|
| Minnesota at Tennessee |
-3 |
|
|
|
|
| San Diego at Oakland |
+7 |
3 4 |
2 |
San Diego |
2 - 1 |
| Buffalo at St. Louis |
+8 |
|
4 5 6 |
St. Louis |
3 - 0 |
| Washington at Dallas |
-11.5 |
|
|
|
|
| Philadelphia at Chicago |
+3 |
|
|
|
|
| Baltimore at Pittsburgh |
-7 |
1 |
6 |
|
|
|
|
