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Trends - Week Four
The following table shows how home teams with a certain season record have done in matchups in the fourth week of the season:
Week 4 results 1990-2006
(for specific home team records)
Home
Season Record |
Spread W-L
As Favorite |
Spread W-L
As Underdog |
Spread W-L
All Games |
| 3-0 or 2-0 |
18 - 12 |
4 - 1 |
22 - 13 |
| 2-1 |
26 - 26 |
5 - 7 |
31 - 33 |
| 1-1 |
7 - 5 |
1 - 0 |
8 - 5 |
| 1-2 |
9 - 25 |
18 - 13 |
27 - 38 |
| 0-2 or 0-3 |
8 - 12 |
13 - 18 |
21 - 30 |
Not that this constitutes a great deal of meaningful data, but based on this table you would speculate that home teams with losing records on the year are poor bets overall, particularly as favorites. A few teams might be worth a closer look here in 2007:
- Cleveland - plays as underdog to a Cincinnati team that is 0-3
- Houston - plays as underdog to a Jacksonville team that is 1-2
- San Francisco - plays as underdog to a New Orleans team that is 1-2
- Arizona - plays as underdog to a N.Y. Jets team that is 1-2
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