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    Week
    Five



    Drive Chart Overlay Summary

    Using our exclusive Drive Chart Stats we create a predicted score for every game each week. By comparing our projection to the actual line you can find games where there is a significant difference (the Overlay). The strongest historical plays have been underdogs with a 4+ overlay.

    Match-up
    Predicted Score
    TMW
    Line
    Line
    (home)
    Pick
    Overlay
    Chicago at Detroit
    CHI 31-14
    +17
    +3.5
    Chicago
    13.5
    Pittsburgh at Jacksonville
    PIT 24-17
    +7
    -4
    Pittsburgh
    11
    Indianapolis at Houston
    IND 30-19
    +11
    +3
    Indianapolis
    8
    Seattle at N.Y. Giants
    NYG 30-15
    -15
    -7
    N.Y. Giants
    8
    New England at San Francisco
    SF 26-21
    -5
    +3
    San Francisco
    8
    Kansas City at Carolina
    CAR 27-10
    -17
    -9.5
    Carolina
    7.5
    Tennessee at Baltimore
    BAL 16-13
    -3
    +3
    Baltimore
    6
    Buffalo at Arizona
    BUF 27-22
    +5
    -1
    Buffalo
    6
    Minnesota at New Orleans
    NO 26-17
    -9
    -3
    New Orleans
    6
    Cincinnati at Dallas
    DAL 33-12
    -21
    -17
    Dallas
    4
    Atlanta at Green Bay
    GB 22-21
    -1
    -3.5
    Atlanta
    2.5
    San Diego at Miami
    SD 33-24
    +9
    +6.5
    San Diego
    2.5
    Washington at Philadelphia
    PHI 26-18
    -8
    -5.5
    Philadelphia
    2.5
    Tampa Bay at Denver
    DEN 28-23
    -5
    -3
    Denver
    2



    Play-By-Play Overlay Summary

    Using our exclusive Play-By-Play ratings we create a predicted score for every game each week. By comparing our projection to the actual line you can find games where there is a significant difference (the Overlay). The strongest historical plays have been underdogs with a 4+ point overlay.

    Match-up
    Predicted Score
    TMW
    Line
    Line
    (home)
    Pick
    Overlay
    Kansas City at Carolina
    CAR 33-3
    -30
    -9.5
    Carolina
    20.5
    New England at San Francisco
    SF 29-14
    -15
    +3
    San Francisco
    18
    Seattle at N.Y. Giants
    NYG 31-10
    -21
    -7
    N.Y. Giants
    14
    Cincinnati at Dallas
    DAL 36-7
    -29
    -17
    Dallas
    12
    Pittsburgh at Jacksonville
    PIT 21-14
    +7
    -4
    Pittsburgh
    11
    Chicago at Detroit
    CHI 28-15
    +13
    +3.5
    Chicago
    9.5
    San Diego at Miami
    MIA 26-23
    -3
    +6.5
    Miami
    9.5
    Washington at Philadelphia
    PHI 28-13
    -15
    -5.5
    Philadelphia
    9.5
    Indianapolis at Houston
    IND 29-18
    +11
    +3
    Indianapolis
    8
    Tennessee at Baltimore
    BAL 13-10
    -3
    +3
    Baltimore
    6
    Buffalo at Arizona
    BUF 24-21
    +3
    -1
    Buffalo
    4
    Tampa Bay at Denver
    DEN 26-21
    -5
    -3
    Denver
    2
    Minnesota at New Orleans
    NO 24-19
    -5
    -3
    New Orleans
    2
    Atlanta at Green Bay
    GB 18-15
    -3
    -3.5
    Atlanta
    .5