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Play by Play Angles
This prediction tool is based on some original research by Nathan.
For the full research article see: Play-By-Play Angles
- Play 54%+ Offense Rush PSR (play success rate) teams (65-43)
- Play 4.5+ yds/rush offense underdogs getting more than a field goal (59-28)
- Play defensive Rush PSR 53%+ teams (65-37)
- Play defensive Pass PSR 50%+ teams (152-109)
- Play defensive Pass EFR (effectiveness) 120+ teams (65-39)
- Play home teams projected under 60 Passing EFR (81-38)
NFL Week 5 , 2008
| Matchup |
Line
(home) |
Away
Angles |
Home
Angles |
Pick |
Diff |
| Tennessee at Baltimore |
+3 |
|
6 |
Baltimore |
1 - 0 |
| Kansas City at Carolina |
-9.5 |
2 4 |
|
Kansas City |
2 - 0 |
| Chicago at Detroit |
+3.5 |
|
3 5 |
Detroit |
2 - 0 |
| Atlanta at Green Bay |
-3.5 |
2 |
|
Atlanta |
1 - 0 |
| Indianapolis at Houston |
+3 |
1 4 |
4 5 |
|
|
| San Diego at Miami |
+6.5 |
3 4 |
|
San Diego |
2 - 0 |
| Seattle at N.Y. Giants |
-7 |
2 |
|
Seattle |
1 - 0 |
| Washington at Philadelphia |
-5.5 |
|
|
|
|
| Tampa Bay at Denver |
-3 |
|
1 4 5 |
Denver |
3 - 0 |
| Buffalo at Arizona |
-1 |
|
4 |
Arizona |
1 - 0 |
| Cincinnati at Dallas |
-17 |
4 |
|
Cincinnati |
1 - 0 |
| New England at San Francisco |
+3 |
4 |
|
New England |
1 - 0 |
| Pittsburgh at Jacksonville |
-4 |
|
|
|
|
| Minnesota at New Orleans |
-3 |
|
3 |
New Orleans |
1 - 0 |
|
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