Drive Chart Overlay Summary
Using our exclusive Drive Chart Stats we create a predicted score
for every game each week. By comparing our projection to the
actual line you can find games where there is a significant
difference (the Overlay). The strongest historical plays have been
underdogs with a 4+ overlay.
| Match-up |
Predicted Score |
TMW
Line |
Line
(home) |
Pick |
Overlay |
| St. Louis at Washington |
WAS 40-7 |
-33 |
-13.5 |
Washington |
19.5 |
| N.Y. Giants at Cleveland |
NYG 33-8 |
+25 |
+9 |
N.Y. Giants |
16 |
| Baltimore at Indianapolis |
BAL 21-14 |
+7 |
-4.5 |
Baltimore |
11.5 |
| Miami at Houston |
MIA 30-23 |
+7 |
-3 |
Miami |
10 |
| Detroit at Minnesota |
MIN 32-9 |
-23 |
-13.5 |
Minnesota |
9.5 |
| Jacksonville at Denver |
DEN 34-21 |
-13 |
-3.5 |
Denver |
9.5 |
| Dallas at Arizona |
ARI 29-28 |
-1 |
+5 |
Arizona |
6 |
| New England at San Diego |
SD 30-19 |
-11 |
-6 |
San Diego |
5 |
| Carolina at Tampa Bay |
CAR 17-14 |
+3 |
-1.5 |
Carolina |
4.5 |
| Green Bay at Seattle |
GB 23-22 |
+1 |
-2.5 |
Green Bay |
3.5 |
| Cincinnati at N.Y. Jets |
NYJ 28-19 |
-9 |
-6 |
N.Y. Jets |
3 |
| Philadelphia at San Francisco |
PHI 25-18 |
+7 |
+5 |
Philadelphia |
2 |
| Chicago at Atlanta |
CHI 21-20 |
+1 |
+2.5 |
Atlanta |
1.5 |
| Oakland at New Orleans |
NO 27-18 |
-9 |
-7.5 |
New Orleans |
1.5 |
2008 Season Performance (Week 4 on)
| Overlay |
0 - 1.5 |
2 - 3.5 |
4 - 5.5 |
6 - 7.5 |
8+ Pts |
ALL |
| HomeFavs |
0 - 0 |
0 - 1 |
0 - 2 |
1 - 2 |
2 - 0 |
3 - 5 |
| HomeDogs |
0 - 0 |
0 - 0 |
0 - 0 |
0 - 0 |
0 - 1 |
0 - 1 |
| AwayFavs |
0 - 0 |
0 - 1 |
1 - 0 |
0 - 0 |
3 - 2 |
4 - 3 |
| AwayDogs |
1 - 0 |
1 - 0 |
0 - 0 |
0 - 1 |
2 - 3 |
4 - 4 |
|
| Favorites |
0 - 0 |
0 - 2 |
1 - 2 |
1 - 2 |
5 - 2 |
7 - 8 |
| Underdogs |
1 - 0 |
1 - 0 |
0 - 0 |
0 - 1 |
2 - 4 |
4 - 5 |
| Home Teams |
0 - 0 |
0 - 1 |
0 - 2 |
1 - 2 |
2 - 1 |
3 - 6 |
| Away Teams |
1 - 0 |
1 - 1 |
1 - 0 |
0 - 1 |
5 - 5 |
8 - 7 |
|
| ALL PICKS |
1 - 0 |
1 - 2 |
1 - 2 |
1 - 3 |
7 - 6 |
11 - 13 |
| WIN % |
100 % |
33 % |
33 % |
25 % |
54 % |
46 % |
| Spread Range |
10+ points |
5 to 9.5 |
0 to 4.5 |
| Favorites |
0 - 1 |
4 - 4 |
3 - 3 |
| Underdogs |
1 - 0 |
1 - 2 |
2 - 3 |
Play-By-Play Overlay Summary
Using our exclusive Play-By-Play ratings we create a predicted score
for every game each week. By comparing our projection to the
actual line you can find games where there is a significant
difference (the Overlay). The strongest historical plays have been
underdogs with a 4+ point overlay.
| Match-up |
Predicted Score |
TMW
Line |
Line
(home) |
Pick |
Overlay |
| Miami at Houston |
MIA 32-15 |
+17 |
-3 |
Miami |
20 |
| N.Y. Giants at Cleveland |
NYG 32-6 |
+26 |
+9 |
N.Y. Giants |
17 |
| St. Louis at Washington |
WAS 38-9 |
-29 |
-13.5 |
Washington |
15.5 |
| Baltimore at Indianapolis |
BAL 22-13 |
+9 |
-4.5 |
Baltimore |
13.5 |
| Detroit at Minnesota |
MIN 34-7 |
-27 |
-13.5 |
Minnesota |
13.5 |
| Jacksonville at Denver |
DEN 33-18 |
-15 |
-3.5 |
Denver |
11.5 |
| Cincinnati at N.Y. Jets |
NYJ 27-12 |
-15 |
-6 |
N.Y. Jets |
9 |
| Carolina at Tampa Bay |
CAR 20-13 |
+7 |
-1.5 |
Carolina |
8.5 |
| Chicago at Atlanta |
ATL 22-17 |
-5 |
+2.5 |
Atlanta |
7.5 |
| Green Bay at Seattle |
GB 23-18 |
+5 |
-2.5 |
Green Bay |
7.5 |
| New England at San Diego |
SD 23-20 |
-3 |
-6 |
New England |
3 |
| Dallas at Arizona |
DAL 26-23 |
+3 |
+5 |
Arizona |
2 |
| Oakland at New Orleans |
NO 25-18 |
-7 |
-7.5 |
Oakland |
.5 |
| Philadelphia at San Francisco |
PHI 22-17 |
+5 |
+5 |
|
0 |
2008 Season Performance (Week 4 on)
| Overlay |
0 - 1.5 |
2 - 3.5 |
4 - 5.5 |
6 - 7.5 |
8+ Pts |
ALL |
| HomeFavs |
0 - 0 |
0 - 2 |
0 - 1 |
0 - 0 |
3 - 2 |
3 - 5 |
| HomeDogs |
0 - 0 |
0 - 0 |
0 - 1 |
0 - 0 |
1 - 1 |
1 - 2 |
| AwayFavs |
0 - 0 |
0 - 0 |
0 - 0 |
0 - 0 |
3 - 2 |
3 - 2 |
| AwayDogs |
1 - 0 |
1 - 0 |
0 - 1 |
0 - 1 |
2 - 2 |
4 - 4 |
|
| Favorites |
0 - 0 |
0 - 2 |
0 - 1 |
0 - 0 |
6 - 4 |
6 - 7 |
| Underdogs |
1 - 0 |
1 - 0 |
0 - 2 |
0 - 1 |
3 - 3 |
5 - 6 |
| Home Teams |
0 - 0 |
0 - 2 |
0 - 2 |
0 - 0 |
4 - 3 |
4 - 7 |
| Away Teams |
1 - 0 |
1 - 0 |
0 - 1 |
0 - 1 |
5 - 4 |
7 - 6 |
|
| ALL PICKS |
1 - 0 |
1 - 2 |
0 - 3 |
0 - 1 |
9 - 7 |
11 - 13 |
| WIN % |
100 % |
33 % |
0 % |
0 % |
56 % |
46 % |
| Spread Range |
10+ points |
5 to 9.5 |
0 to 4.5 |
| Favorites |
0 - 1 |
3 - 3 |
3 - 3 |
| Underdogs |
1 - 0 |
2 - 3 |
2 - 3 |
| 
