Play by Play Angles
This prediction tool is based on some original research by Nathan.
For the full research article see: Play-By-Play Angles
- Play 54%+ Offense Rush PSR (play success rate) teams (65-43)
- Play 4.5+ yds/rush offense underdogs getting more than a field goal (59-28)
- Play defensive Rush PSR 53%+ teams (65-37)
- Play defensive Pass PSR 50%+ teams (152-109)
- Play defensive Pass EFR (effectiveness) 120+ teams (65-39)
- Play home teams projected under 60 Passing EFR (81-38)
NFL Week 6 , 2008
| Matchup |
Line
(home) |
Away
Angles |
Home
Angles |
Pick |
Diff |
| Chicago at Atlanta |
+2.5 |
|
|
|
|
| Miami at Houston |
-3 |
|
4 5 |
Houston |
2 - 0 |
| Baltimore at Indianapolis |
-4.5 |
|
4 |
Indianapolis |
1 - 0 |
| Detroit at Minnesota |
-13.5 |
4 5 |
|
Detroit |
2 - 0 |
| Oakland at New Orleans |
-7.5 |
2 |
|
Oakland |
1 - 0 |
| Cincinnati at N.Y. Jets |
-6 |
4 |
4 |
|
|
| Carolina at Tampa Bay |
-1.5 |
|
6 |
Tampa Bay |
1 - 0 |
| St. Louis at Washington |
-13.5 |
4 5 |
|
St. Louis |
2 - 0 |
| Jacksonville at Denver |
-3.5 |
|
1 |
Denver |
1 - 0 |
| Dallas at Arizona |
+5 |
|
|
|
|
| Philadelphia at San Francisco |
+5 |
|
2 |
San Francisco |
1 - 0 |
| Green Bay at Seattle |
-2.5 |
|
|
|
|
| New England at San Diego |
-6 |
|
3 4 |
San Diego |
2 - 0 |
| N.Y. Giants at Cleveland |
+9 |
1 |
6 |
|
|
Season Records:
Any edge: 6-8
1 Angle edge: 5-3
2 Angle edge: 0-3
3+ Angle edge: 1-2
Angle #1: 2-1
Angle #2: 2-5
Angle #3: 2-3
Angle #4: 6-5
Angle #5: 1-4
Angle #6: 0-2
Individual Angles: 13-20
| 
